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Villain is 22/11/0 3B(0/28) over ~80 hands. Folded to 3B 67% all positions (2/3). He seems Tight, and relatively passive Pre- and Post-flop. This is the first time he's faced a 3B from a steal position. Not much else to say about him!

What would you do? Thanks :)


$2.00 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

BB: $163.00
UTG: $311.92
MP: $35.12
CO: $310.80
BTN: $200.00
Hero (SB): $205.36

Hero posts SB $1.00, BB posts BB $2.00

Pre Flop: Hero has A♣Q♠
fold, MP raises to $4.00, fold, BTN calls $4.00, Hero raises to $20.00, fold, fold, BTN calls $16.00

Flop: ($46.00, 2 players) K♥ A♥ 5♣
Hero bets $24.00, BTN calls $24.00

Turn: ($94.00, 2 players) 6♥
Hero bets $52.00, BTN raises to $156.00 and is All-In, Hero ???

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2 Answers

With those limited stats I would have said he could be just a regular TAG, but with the overcall it obviously now looks like he is a weak-passive type.

He has A5 or better around 80-90% of the time. Aces-weak kickers aren't showing up here much. I give AJ/AT/A9 no heart and Kxh 6-8 effective combos vs everything else

So, yeah just fold there. I would only be slightly happy to be calling with A5 no heart.

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this is a snap fold given your description. a tight/passive guy like this will not shove your turn bet on this board with less than 2pair

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Perhaps you're right, but how certain would you be after 80 hands, and such a small sample? –  Toby Booth Oct 24 '12 at 1:30
    
Yeah it's a rather small sample, but an aggressive reg will hardly ever show 22/11/0 over 80 hands. How often do you think you're good here? Do you think this guy will ever do this with AJ or AT, or as a (semi-)bluff? –  Peter Hadorn Oct 24 '12 at 10:07
    
At first glance it appears simple to me, but then I consider the opponents types of hands that cold-call pre-flop, and call again vs my raise! Given the card removal issues of villain having less nut-flush, pair, and SC potential hands (considering board texture), my thoughts are that I'm ahead more often than initial appearances suggest. By how much, if any, errr... not sure :) –  Toby Booth Oct 24 '12 at 23:58
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