Poker theory is generally based on mathematical principals to define the theory.

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19
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9answers
1k views

Simplest Way to Explain EV to Beginners

I've recently been teaching a few of my friends to play poker, and I've explained various facets of poker play to them, now I want to explain Expected Value. It's not a simple concept and I don't ...
15
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4answers
478 views

A TAG LAG paradox?

In every reference book of poker, I have found that the more exploitive strategy against a loose player is to play tight. Conversely, the more exploitive strategy against a tight player is to play ...
12
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4answers
1k views

Balanced Continuation Bet range

Assume a 100bb NL game 6max game. Hero is on the Button on Open raises 3BB with a 55% range The BB calls (25% range). On a Board Axx a lot of players cbet a large portion of their range (60% - 90%) ...
12
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2answers
456 views

What's the best book to read to understand this site?

I've always been a decent poker player. I typically win and understand probabilities and money management from life experience and trading. I'm an engineer, so I naturally approach things with a ...
11
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1answer
672 views

Positions in Poker

I'm somewhat perplexed on the positions in poker. As I browse, some websites give different/contradicting versions on the description of the positions. For example, some sources say the early ...
8
votes
4answers
165 views

Do you have any “in-hand” thinking procedures?

i'm kinda new to poker and i have problem with making too fast decisions. Do you guys have any standard "in-hand thinking procedures"? For example, when you're in hand, do you always think in the ...
8
votes
3answers
288 views

Position advantage on the table and odds

Is it possible define position advantage on table on terms of correction to odds? Namely, is it possible to quantify the effect of position on a players equity?
8
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1answer
243 views

What topical resources do you often use to learn more about poker?

To get information that's usually considered cutting edge, it's often good to discuss topics more candidly with experts forging new thoughts on well established theories. Books of course mostly deal ...
8
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3answers
506 views

Add-on value and “bubble factor”

Bubble factor represents the value ratio of winning X chips versus losing X chips in a given tournament - and is named so because the ratio grows steeply as the money bubble approaches. An exaggerated ...
8
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1answer
371 views

Simplified poker games

Is there a list of simplified poker games - preferably ones for which there is either a complete solution (ie the optimal strategy for all players is known) or at least some extensive analysis, either ...
7
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2answers
173 views

Can a bettor concede his hand without showing it?

Let's say someone bluffs on the flop, turn, and river with "nothing", (maybe he has AK), and is called all three times, by someone who probably has a small pair. In theory, he is supposed to show his ...
7
votes
7answers
294 views

Can the optimal strategy for low stakes holdem be considered simpler as a general rule?

It appears that some of the subtleties of the game of poker are actually counterproductive against weak players. For example, raising is better than calling in many situations because it provides you ...
6
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3answers
281 views

What are the most important elements of poker to model in a Monte Carlo simulation?

A few years back, I built a MC simulation with the following parameters: Betting wasn't simulated Fixed number of players Cards were dealt, and then flop/turn/river The best hand was recorded ...
6
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2answers
163 views

Can you call when the pot odds don't favour you?

Say you're drawing to a made hand in a $10-$20 limit hold'em game and you have N outs. On the turn, one line of thought is that you should only call if the pot odds are in your favour, i.e. if there ...
6
votes
2answers
410 views

The right bluff frequency

In the book of Bill Chen, "The mathematics of poker", there is a formula to calculate the right frequency of a bluff action. The formula has been calculated in a simplified version of poker. Even ...
6
votes
2answers
392 views

Distribution of Badugi Hands

I'd like to know when you're dealt a badugi in Badugi, where does that hand stand in relation to another random badugi hand? i.e. both hands have four different suits and ranks. Example 1: I'm dealt ...
6
votes
3answers
210 views

Gap concept and pot odds

In his book "The Theory Of Poker", David Sklansky states that in order to call an early open/raise you should hold at least the same or a tighter range than the open/raiser opponent. Sklansky called ...
6
votes
2answers
132 views

Giving a short stacked opponent a perfect all-in vs forcing them to over-commit

I just finished Every Hand Revealed by Gus Hansen and in it he is talking about a short-stacked opponent and says: I should probably watch out so I don't give him too many perfect all-in moves ...
6
votes
1answer
337 views

What data should you keep track of to improve your game?

If you wanted to improve your poker game, what statistics should you track? Do players that keep a track of how much they have won/lost and where do better than players who don't? I play online (for ...
5
votes
2answers
92 views

How to behave in crowded pots

I noticed that in small stakes tournments and freerolls, the early stages of pots are very crowded. What is the best strategy in this kind of situation? Limp in the hope to flop somthing? or what?
5
votes
5answers
316 views

What I did was right?

I'm a newbie in Poker and so I would like you to judge the rightness of my actions on the following hand: Yesterday I was playing NL Hold'em and my cards were a premium hand, K♣ K♦. We were playing ...
5
votes
1answer
170 views

Doubt in expected value calculation of Bill Chen book

I am studing The mathematics of poker of Bill Chen, and I am at the chapter of pot odds and implied odds. I have this doubt: Everyone who have a little background on probability knows that the ...
4
votes
9answers
598 views

How is Poker a game of skill?

First of all, I'm a newbie so excuse my stupid question but I have to know :( I notice a lot of people say this, especially those who play a lot of poker. I'm not really a poker player, but I know ...
4
votes
5answers
230 views

Outs counting correction

When we counts outs, we are making the assumption that the outs are not already dealt. This can be correct in the heads up, but I guess that in the full game this will not be correct (due to the ...
4
votes
2answers
2k views

Complex split pot semantics for multiple All-In winners with differing amounts

I'm writing a Poker Server piece of software and well, I want it to be accurate... Basically I want to know what the correct way to deal with this following situation is: [ second round of betting. ...
4
votes
4answers
566 views

Pocket Aces in 9-handed

This should be a happy thing when you get pocket aces, but lately I feel bad just looking at the hole cards A♢ A♥, for example. According to what I read and everyone's advice I should bet strong with ...
4
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2answers
869 views

Why is it easier to make a flush than a straight with four cards already matching?

In draw poker with five cards, if I have four cards with an open-ended straight draw, why is it a lower probability to get the fifth card for the straight than if you have four cards in a flush and ...
4
votes
2answers
236 views

Postflop play books references

I feel quite comfortable playing pre flop, but I feel that I am weak in post flop play. I lack the big picture of post flop play. Can anyone give me a good reference for post flop play?
4
votes
1answer
85 views

Heads-Up And The Logic Of The Blinds

In heads-up play, the standard rules of the button, small blind, and big blind, change. Why in heads-up, is the button the small blind too? What is the logic behind this rule?
4
votes
2answers
122 views

What is the nature of Omaha starting hands?

When I first started to play Omaha coming from a Hold em back ground it seemed to me that the nature of a four card hand was different then the nature of two a card hand. It seemed that at a very ...
4
votes
1answer
102 views

combinations from 2 hole card and 7 communal cards

If we have 5 communal cards and 2 hole cards, and its our turn to deal, Can we just select all the 5 communal cards for hand? or do we need to keep our 2 hole cards and only choose 3 communal cards ...
4
votes
2answers
150 views

Pot odds for chasing a flush against unknown opponent

Consider 2 scenarios, in which a flop has given you an approx. 33% chance of making an Ace high flush by the river. The pot size is currently 600 and there is 1 player remaining. It costs 200 to ...
4
votes
3answers
305 views

Equity calculation at brick and mortar poker

Pokerstove is very usefull tool for online players, but when you play live you simply can't use it. Does exist (even aproximate) an algorithm in order to estimate your equity against the range of your ...
4
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2answers
2k views

Nash's ICM calculation

I would like to understand the Nash' ICM model and how to use it. I have found this calculators here and here, and I have tried to play with them. But I don't understand the output. Who can help me ...
4
votes
1answer
68 views

Calculating the Probability of Reaching a Certain Amount of BB vs Hero

I'm looking for help to build a statistic in excel or just mathematically. What I want to figure is the chance of another player (villain) increase his stack with X BBs when I estimate his BB/100 to ...
4
votes
1answer
96 views

Should you use average value or marginal value when deciding which hands to play?

This example comes from Sklansky: Suppose you are in a very loose wild limit game, where seven players (other than yourself) call for the maximum four bets on every hand. Sklansky then asserts that ...
4
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4answers
461 views

The groups of Sklansky starting hands

Which criterion did Sklansky use when dividing starting hands in groups? Computer generated starting hands seems to show a subjective grouping by Sklansky, doesn't it?
3
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6answers
269 views

Final Table of Tournament - Hand History Example

I was recently at the final table of a 40 person freeze out tourny and wonder if I played the following right. Background: When this hand came up I was 3rd in chips out of 8 players on a final table. ...
3
votes
2answers
269 views

Converting Backdoor Draws Into Equity

During a session, most of the flops you play, you miss. Most of the times that you connect with the flop it's a weak connection, often with "backdoor" outs, i.e. Having to hit multiple cards, over ...
3
votes
3answers
231 views

Ante + BB all-in, what can the BB win?

How are the pots computed when in a tournament deal when the big blind posts his full ante but then doesn't have enough to post his big blind? To take a concrete example, here's a hand history from a ...
3
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3answers
294 views

Expected Value for SB und BB in NL HU (GTO)

Lets consider a NL HU Match 100BB deep (no rake). Both players are playing GTO (game theoretical optimum). Lets assume in the GTO Strategy the SB open limps or open raises r times and open folds f ...
3
votes
3answers
379 views

Some Mathematical Poker Questions (Discrete Math)

Mathematically speaking, I have two questions: How many ways can a 5-card draw-poker hand be dealt? How many 5-card draw-poker hands exist? Thanks!
3
votes
2answers
192 views

Texas Hold 'Em possibilities

Suppose you have been dealt “4♡, 5♡”. Suppose you have one opponent. What is the conditional probability that you will win, given these two cards in hand, and that the board is “3♢, 4♢, 4♣, 4♠, 5♢”? ...
3
votes
1answer
121 views

How to Decide Whether to Buy the Add On or Not in Rebuys

Sometimes rebuy tournaments go very well at the beginning and I accumulate a lot of chips, when I've already got lots of chips it seems silly to pay more money for the add on - usually costing the ...
2
votes
6answers
249 views

Studying poker math - is it worth it?

I've done some studying, learned about ranges for stealing, raising, calling, positional play etc. but I get bored with all that theory. I don't really care about my odds and outs and I probably make ...
2
votes
3answers
269 views

What kind of plays could I make to convince my opponents that I have a polarised hand range?

In other words: What actions could I use to make it harder for my opponents to figure out what I'm calling, raising or folding with? Aside from chucking a curve ball at them, i.e. an oddly ...
2
votes
2answers
79 views

In what situations will you lose the low-pot in Omaha Hi/Lo while holding Ace-Deuce?

In Omaha hi low, will holding an Ace and a Deuce card automatically give you the "nut low" hand in the event of a qualifying low hand?
2
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3answers
344 views

Question on Strategy Calculation (from Bill Chen's Book Math of Poker)

I have a question regarding an example from the book Mathematics of Poker by Chen and Ankenman. There on p. 48 he gives Example 4.1 Two players play headsup limit poker on the river. Player A ...
2
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1answer
80 views

When do you need to think more than 1 decision ahead in limit hold'em?

Say you're in a $10-$20 limit hold'em game holding A♥8♥ against a flop of K♥3♥6♣ so you have a nuts flush draw against an opponent who bet pre-flop, and has just bet ...
2
votes
1answer
134 views

Are WSOP hand logs available to the public?

Are there any textual logs available to be read? Obviously there are the video records, but that's not really what I seek here. My search turned out nothing, so I am skeptical there are any. I would ...