deals with computing probabilities for many commonly occurring events in the game of poker

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8
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4answers
7k views

Pocket pair starting hands vs. probability of opponent having a pocket pair

According to Wikipedia, the probability of being dealt any pocket pair as the starting hand is ~6% (78/1326=0.0588), but yet the probability of facing another player holding a larger pair when holding ...
7
votes
3answers
211 views

Systematic all-in

This is a theoretical question, following what I have seen in some low blinds cash games. You generally cannot buy-in more than 100BB. Say at some point, you reached 10,000 BB. All you adversaries ...
7
votes
1answer
125 views

Equity calculation

Flop = T♥ 7♥ 6♥ Player 1 = 4♠ 3♥ Player 2 = 5♥ 2♠ Whats the equity of Player 1 on this flop ? Equity calculators give it 43.54% (18.5% for tie and ...
7
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1answer
1k views

Starting hands probability

The following is a passage from Wikipedia on starting hands probability: The 1,326 starting hands can be reduced for purposes of determining the probability of starting hands for Hold 'em—since ...
6
votes
2answers
196 views

Probability of x pocket pairs at a table of n people (NLHE)?

With n people at a table, what is the probability that x of them are dealt pocket pairs? There are several easy ways to approximate this but I was wondering there was an elegant solution. Any takers?
5
votes
2answers
842 views

Formula for making a single pair on the flop

I'm trying to get the probability of pairing only one hole card on the flop. According to this calculator, http://www.texasholdem-poker.com/calculator?card1=8&card2=13&chance_format=...
4
votes
1answer
224 views

Hold'em: Why does K♠️7♠️ beat A♠️2♠️ more frequently than K♠️8♠️ does?

According to this site: K♠️7♠️ beats A♠️2♠️ 39.10% of the time (and ties 0.62%). K♠️8♠️ beats A♠️2♠️ 38.71% of the time (and ties 0.61%). Why is this? I expected the two probabilities to be the ...
4
votes
2answers
239 views

Chances of 5 way chop (flush board)

What is the exact probability that 5 players at a table will be dealt no clubs (or hearts or whatever) ? Happened to me when all 5 community were all clubs (2,3,5,K,9), thereby a 5 way chop.
3
votes
3answers
800 views

What are the actual odds of being dealt pocket Aces?

I have been looking at the way people calculate the odds of poker hands for a few hours and i think there is a HUGE flaw. In poker a player is never dealt two CONSECUTIVE cards. This in my view ...
3
votes
1answer
703 views

What are the odds of flopping a straight flush with 62s?

I've been wondering what the odds are of flopping a straight flush with 62s.
3
votes
1answer
55 views

How do I calculate poker hand probabilities?

This is a tutorial for calculating poker probabilities from scratch. It is what I learned in my degree and even beforehand when I created and 5-card draw hand strength calculator. The intention of ...
3
votes
0answers
87 views

Can anyone suggest a limit holdem training app for Android?

First time poster in this part of the world, so apologies if I've posted this in the wrong area. In short; I used to play a lot of Poker in University over a decade ago, and then continued to play ...
2
votes
3answers
80 views

Probability of forming a flush question (dependent vs independent event)

I'm slightly confused at the probability calculations for hands. Here's the problem: Suppose you have two hearts. The flop comes and has two hearts. What is the probability of forming a flush on the ...
2
votes
3answers
3k views

Probability of flopping straight flush

So your given 2 cards (same suit), and then next three cards (flop; also same suit). What is the probability of that happening? So I figured out that 2 cards have been dealt to you meaning there are ...
2
votes
3answers
969 views

What are the chances of losing with a King high Straight Flush?

Also: is the probability so small that this has never happened?
2
votes
1answer
798 views

Probability Of Getting A Straight Flush Or Royal Flush When Holding QJs

Given that you are dealt the J♥ and Q♥, what is the probability that you will eventually make a straight flush or royal flush? Having these cards in your hand means that: 1). the only ...
2
votes
3answers
706 views

What are the odds of having 2 Quads in the same hand?

Just watched a video that went as follows: Player 1 (Button): Q♥Q♠ Player 2: 9♥9⋄ Player 3: 2♣2♠ Flop: Q⋄9♠Q♣ Turn: 5♠ River: 9&...
2
votes
3answers
115 views

Realistic Community Cards

I play online poker on a few sites and recently, I have marked that I'm actually getting a series of bad beats from some awful (ly "lucky") players. My question is what are the odds of following ...
2
votes
2answers
447 views

What is the probability of seeing a royal flush and a four of a kind in the same round with ten players?

We were wondering and concluded it is possible to have two players, one having a royal flush, the other having four of a kind, if there is a pair and three high cards on the table. But the situation ...
2
votes
1answer
100 views

Straight draw in heads up?

With a stack of 3000, 50/100 blinds, I was holding: 2 4 (not suited) I'm big blind in a heads up game. Opponent matches the big blind, so I end up playing a hand I'd never play otherwise. ...
1
vote
1answer
51 views

5 cards draw odds

I have three cards of the same suit. What are the odds of receiving two more cards of the same suit? If the number of players is important, assume 5 players on the table.
1
vote
1answer
30 views

Joint, conditional, and value-dependent probabilities (in… poker)

This is a continuation of this question/answer and intentionally wanted to make it a separate topic. It is required to read that topic first before attempting to read this one. What is joint ...
0
votes
2answers
99 views

Poker Strategy for all ins

If an opponent goes all in pre-flop and I have 8 8 and everybody else has folded, what are the respective odds on either player winning the hand?
0
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2answers
137 views

Are both a straight and a full-house possible on the same flop? [closed]

I have been playing poker on pokerstar.net, and for several occasions, there have been a straight flush and a full house on the same flop/game, I just think that this is an impossibility. Just what ...
0
votes
3answers
92 views

On the turn pot odds to call versus outs

When facing a bet on the turn (river card to come) how to equate call a bet to number of outs? You think you are beat but you have a number of outs. When is it profitable to call?
0
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2answers
257 views

How does number of player affect the probability of a hand winning a round?

So I am currently trying to develop an algorithm for a poker odds calculator to predict the probability of a hand winning during the flop, turn and river in Texas Hold'Em as a side project. After ...
0
votes
2answers
152 views

Probability of two players getting identical starting hands

I've been playing hold'em on SWC lately, and have noticed that two players (across different tables with different numbers of players) get identical starting hands quite a bit. Like, more than once a ...
0
votes
1answer
56 views

Safe strategy? In a simplified model of poker

I was just wondering where if there's any such thing as a safe strategy. In a simplified model of Poker, each player is dealt 5 cards.Each player bets on the belief that their hand is worth more ...
0
votes
1answer
126 views

Probability in poker

In his book "The poker face of Wall Street", A.Brown wrote this: "If two hands have two different cards ten or higher, there is a 62% chance they share a card of the same rank. If two hands are ...
0
votes
2answers
71 views

How does a suited connector help odd of flopping 2 pair or better

Pre flop with suited connector what are the odds of flopping 2 pair of better? For example if I am facing a bet and a raise from big stacks and I have 78s what are my odds. I am up against an ...
0
votes
1answer
115 views

Can You Win a Long Tournament Without Major Suckouts

As the title suggests, I'd like to know how common it is to win a long poker tournament (e.g. the main event) without performing any major suckouts. Major suckouts -per my definition- are the ones ...
0
votes
2answers
86 views

High Card only count

How many 5 card poker hands only have a high card, i.e no pair, straight, flush, e.t.c? A breakdown of high cards would also be appreciated. I do know what is special about 23457 off-suited - any ...
0
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1answer
50 views

in this Flush vs flush who wins + pairs in the 2 hands? [duplicate]

pleaase explain who wins ? and WHY ?? THANKS ALL :)
0
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2answers
187 views

What are the odds of a at least a certain amount of aces being dealt depending on the number of players?

I'm interested to know what the odds are of at least a certain amount of aces being dealt anywhere, depending on the amount of players. Zero Aces | At least 1 Ace | At least 2 Aces | At ...
0
votes
1answer
72 views

Probability of making two pairs (Hold'em)

Based on Wikipedia article, probability of making two pairs among seven cards is 23.5%. But this include cases where the two pairs are on the board (e.x. I have AQ and the board is KKJJ5), or one of ...
0
votes
1answer
28 views

Calculating probabilities for 3, 4, 5 card Straight/Flush/Straight Flush

I am playing around with creating a new card game, similar to poker, and I am really struggling with figuring out the math behind calculating the probability of certain hands. Heres the overview of ...
0
votes
1answer
69 views

Got beaten three times by the same 4 of a kind, then won with a straight flush. In the span of 141 hands. What are the odds?

I hope anyone can help me, the math goes way over my head. I just had the most unlikely game. At a 9 person hold'em table, I first got beaten by three separate people, all with 5555. Then I won a hand ...