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My standard raise in this spot preflop would be something like $84. With reads that villains are bad (i.e. will call 3bets like this way too often) that number becomes bigger. So $110 probably isn't a bad raise size, but you should realize that you're putting in 1/3 of effective stacks and you really don't want to play postflop when that's the case. Under ...

When he donkbets the flop his range likely consists of strong draws, pair+FD, pair+gutter, and some strong made hands like AT+. Reads on CO and BTN are important - if either of them is a fish he could have a wider value range. If CO and BTN are regs I expect his range to be pretty damn strong. Either way, I think flatting flop is best since we don't really ...

Well, the raise that the SB made preflop is quite big, so he either has a big hand or it's a stone-cold bluff. The bet on the flop is also big, so I would put him on either a big pocket pair (tens or bigger) or, again, a bluff. The bluff is possible/probable because of the dry flop. Also, I think a set is not out of the question, but less likely. On the ...

If you think you have the best hand then going all-in is about the only move that's left as a sensible option. That said, for us to be ahead, villain would have to have J7x, J8x, 87x (Two pairs); J9x, T8x, T9x, T7x (Pair+Gutshots); 96x, 65x (Open Ended Straight Draws); AJx (TPTK, although I doubt he'd be this aggressive?!). Otherwise, we're behind JJ, 88, ...

The guy just filled up, so this is a fold IMO. His range to do this on the river seems to be pure value or overvaluing a 9 putting you on a over pair. But i aspect a check-call with most 9s such as J9 or a raise somewhere in the hand as he would be open-ended. The way this played and without more information I fold, as I expect to see 89 and 9T.

Given the range of hands you are assigning him, I don't think you can profitably call preflop. You should probably fold, or possibly 3bet if you think he will make the mistake of folding too much (either immediately or to a flop continuation bet). But I think folding is the best play, exploiting the fact that he is too tight with his open raises. As ...

To answer your question directly, I bet the river. Hero was lucky to avoid a third heart and see two seemingly worthless turn and river cards. If you're willing to call the flop and the turn, why not bet the river? However, I think the mistake here is not raising the SB on the flop. Hero flops bottom two-pair on a potentially volatile board and doesn't ...

You characterize the villain as very tight so with that in mind, his range is narrow and rarely includes any bluffs, if any at all. I'm guessing you think the same. That said, I'd split his range into two parts, his core range and a secondary range. His core range is likely [AQx, KQx, QJx, KJs, KTs]. His secondary range is likely [JJ ,TT, 99]. If i'm ...

I had exactly the same situation recently on one of Poker Maximus events. Just because the guy who was betting on me - was very tight and cautious - I decided to check the river. Questionable decision, but pot was pretty big in my case and reraise would have meant all in. He was holding A5 of hearts. On the other side: if he didn't have a flash draw - he ...

Given the history you have with Villain, I think that we are pretty likely to be ahead here, as it sounds like he is doing this with a wide range. I suspect that with only 60 hands, we have no knowledge of how he plays his big hands (so we have nothing to judge whether or not he would take the same line with Top-Pair-Good-Kicker as with a straight), but ...

I think all-in is definitely the best move here in a cash game, where the hero is most surely ahead. The villain, being in dealer position, would most likely have raised with QQ or 99 pre-flop. Without knowing about your table image, the villain could have been playing Q-x, 10dJd, or could have 2 pair. So of the likely holdings for the villian there are ...

@Silversana With a hand like AK, he would have raised preflop. The same with 99 or QQ (bigger set). Smells like KQ, A9, medium flush draw, straight draw, something in that range; in which case I would fold. Yes, you have a good hand, but in my opinion it's not good enough to call an all-in with. If this was a tournament and you had a smaller stack (less ...

I tend to raise this spot preflop but if the guys behind you and in the blinds are passive limping behind can be ok. The flop raise is a tad big, but standard, and yes, call the shove. His shove is pretty large and if anything that's indicative of a big draw like A⋄K⋄ or J⋄T⋄. Sure he'll show up with better sets sometimes ...

Obviously the flop here is terrible for the hero. The hero is behind A-x, JJ, KQ, 10-10. Villain raised under the gun making AK, AQ or high pockets the likely holdings. An all-in bet will likely immediately chase away 9-9 pockets and below, leaving the likely holdings of AK,AQ, AA, QQ, JJ , 10-10 remaining. I excluded KK, since this holding is very ...

There're only two options here, shove or fold so I don't think you're a nit by stopping to think. On the turn he's making a min raise and nearly committing himself to the pot (he has 45BB left with a 60BB pot) which looks to me pretty strong and definitively hints at a hand there, given the way it's being played, no matter what card comes on the river if ...

I would definitely raise PF to see where I am. If you dont raise you allow trash to see the flop and secondly you have no idea if your AQ is the strongest A. If you are re-raised you can tighten your villains range PF without second guessing OTF. That alone puts you in a tough spot OTF. I would much prefer to be re-raised and knowing where I am. As someone ...

I think the biggest mistake here is not raising pre-flop. With three people in the hand and AQ out of position I think this has to be a re-raise, relating to some comments that I read I would be re-raising here 100% of the time, I don't think playing AQ out of position is great (obviously you play it, it's a monster) and so narrowing the field would be the ...

Valuebet here is out of question for me - a lot of hands you beat here. I'd put SB on something like AK, AJ, 99, JJ, Axs all drawing hands like 89s, TJ, TK, T9... Gutshot-straight-flush-draws like J8 or K9. Check is surrender here for most of the times. Make your opponent pay! I'd make it something like $16.50-$21.00 (21 is too much, I think, but he could ...

First, $110 is too much. $70 (~6 times more than the initial raise) would be enough here to make other players fold their hands (obviously, they are trying to catch something with Axs, small connectors, small pairs, etc. - it's hard to call 3bet for them here). KK is a good hand but it seems like hero is so afraid of losing with this hand, so he can't play ...

IMO, playing in the hero's shoes, I would have raised on the flop with top pair, A kicker. Its obvious he has something on the flop, a raise would find out if he is serious and how serious. Does he slow play a set or over pair here? Ever?? To me he's got A-A because I would slow play my sets here with no flush or straight opportunities and his push on the ...

The turn raise is a bit marginal because the only worse hands that are willing to call it are A♣Q♥ or A♣K♥ (ignoring the suits, of course). Once he shoves there are very few combos that beat us but it is also quite unlikely that this player will shove light or shove many hands that we beat for value, so I like the fold. I think ...

I am not in touch with the state of 200NL online since Black Friday, so you may have to adjust my analysis for those games at this stack depth. Preflop and flop are fine. A preflop 3-bet for balance/value would be okay shallower, but the depth is not great out of position and also Villain can call profitably with a wide range. On the flop, I think when the ...

Against the type of opponent you describe, this is an easy call in my book. There are way more hands in his range that you beat than have you beat. There are a few things I'd do differently, but nothing that changes the result of the hand: You noted that you weren't sure whether you played this in late position or not. I would not raise this type of hand ...

Given the fact that you had a 9 and there were 2 other 9's on the flop, I think it would be safe to assume that your opponent doesn't have the fourth 9. The probability of this is just very low. As it turns out, he did have the fourth 9... and it could've ended a lot worse :) . What I would do in this situation is, I would raise more on the flop, not just ...

First of all this is not a huge raise. I'm assuming the SB didn't contribute money postflop. I wouldn't be too worried about a higher set because it's too unlikely to really worry about it, but it is obviously part of his range. The read said that he was a hyper-aggressive player, and without other information we have to include bluffs in his range here. We ...

I think SoboLAN gave a lot of great analysis in his answer. There are two major things that I have to add: With 10 outs, we have about 35% equity against most of our opponent's range (excluding, obviously, the hands that we are already ahead of). That's nothing to sneeze at. If there were no more money behind, we could expect a positive return on calling a ...

I'm surprised I haven't seen this (or maybe I have and just don't recall it). I think my order is as follows: A2s 75s KJo 88 I'm damn confident that A2s is the hand I want the most here. It gives us card removal so he'll have AK, AQ, and AA considerably less often than in the other scenarios. Also, we won't get into too many marginal spots with TP ...

Depends on many factors. Like if you have any history on these players and how they play. Personally I would have raised pre with that hand to at least get rid of any silly hands for the big blind. He could be sat there with 2 7 for all you know. But back to the actual question. I would say that you have the strongest Ace. I would expect anyone else to ...

Once the SB chooses not to cbet you should certainly be leading here OTF. You're giving him a chance to draw out on you with way too many pair+gutshot hands and this board is fairly coordinated so you should be getting at least one call reasonably often. Once you check the flop, it's pretty close between calling or raising, but I think raising is slightly ...

With those limited stats I would have said he could be just a regular TAG, but with the overcall it obviously now looks like he is a weak-passive type. He has A5 or better around 80-90% of the time. Aces-weak kickers aren't showing up here much. I give AJ/AT/A9 no heart and Kxh 6-8 effective combos vs everything else So, yeah just fold there. I would ...