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With the Villain playing fairly tight and limping frequently, I would suspect that he has been looking to set mine. He might be willing to call 5BB with any pocket pair (and a few other hands) since he's on the button, but from your description of his play I would say he most likely has a medium to high pocket pair 77+. His reraise on the flop makes me ...


1

IMHO, even if you manage to calculate your odds perfectly well, in every hand, if you are sit in a 9 players table, you'd win the pot 1/9 time (in a purely probabilistic way). Now, just try to imagine if your hands are weak before the flop (or turn/river) and someone, for any reason, breaks the odd every hand you play, because he saw you were playing that ...


1

I agree with Paulpro, the only thing I'll add is that I think he could also have AQ until the river shove. From the description, he may try to get value on 2 streets, but it is rare to have a 1/2 player shove with just TPTK on the river. He has a minimum of 2 pair. QT is a definite possibility here, too as I think he would be more likely to wait until the ...



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