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7

Yes, you can and you should. The concept you're describing is called implied odds (the estimated profit you'll make if you make your hand). Notice is a much less concrete value as it is an estimation of whether your opponent will call when the draw comes and the amount he'll be willing to pay. There's also the concept of reverse implied odds which are the ...


5

As you can imagine, your equity in a heads up hand with no rake, where you bet preflop and deal out all community cards without betting, will be 50%. Other variations of this, such as the dealer winning ties or the introduction of a rake, will lower your equity (and since this is a casino game, I'm willing to bet that they have something in their favor). ...


4

You need to calculate the odds of getting the exact flop that you need. Since the order doesn't matter, the first card dealt would have three possibilities, and then if you got one of those you would have two possibilities on the second card, etc. It would look like this: 3/50 * 2/49 * 1/48 = 1/19,600 = 0.005% EDIT Updated based on your ...


4

The article is correct in the way it uses 4:1 and 5:1. Under their assumptions (actual value given their example is more like 4.2:1), you are "4 to 1" to make it while you are getting "5 to 1" on your money. I'd say that this is precisely because both are written / pronounced / thought of this way that it's convenient. If you check the Wikipedia article on ...


4

It all depends on pot odds. If you have better than 50% pot odds and have 50% equity versus your opponent's range, and you have the bankroll to handle the variance, then you should be looking to play for stacks. This will always produce a long term winning strategy, because you're getting >50% return on a 50% bet. Do you see why? The only situation where ...


3

This is a good example that calling in poker is the worst thing you can do. You can't see if your opponent ist bluffing or having a big hand. Because you don't check your position by giving him a decision. First of all calling 7,5 blinds with JQ offsuit is questionable. The flop is good for you. You are holding 2 overcards and an open endet straight ...


2

Am I right in assuming that if I had AA 20 hands ago, and I lost to AK, the odds of it happening again the very next time I have AA are far smaller? Yes and no. But mostly no. The odds of AA losing to AK never change, as long as all of the variables are the same. What happened in the past is in the past, and has no bearing on what will happen ...


2

I decided to have a go at answering this myself. The situation is you against one other player who has a made hand, and you have N outs. Before the turn, the 1-step EV (ignoring any bets on the river) is EV1 = N/47 * X + (47-N)/47 * (-10) The two-step EV, taking river bets into account, is EV2 = N/47 * X + (47-N)/47 * [ N/46 * (X + 20) + (46-N)/46 ...


2

If a player is regularly pushing on the flop with top pair, you should call him with an overpair, top pair and a good kicker, or anything better. With a flush draw and two overcards you have about 15 outs, giving you around a 54% edge ignoring any cards that improve their hand. It's a borderline case. It may be worth a call in case they're bluffing, and to ...


2

I agree with Andrew on a theoretical level => if you have the pot odds you should call. I just wanted to put stress on the concept of pot odds. If you are on the flop and have alredy placed some of your money in the middle a coin flip is more than enough to call an all in because you more than double the call prise with a 50% chance. You can see a full ...


2

It's probably better to think of it as a percentage of their range because this is how often they will 'have it' during play. Don't forget that you're also way behind pocket pairs 66+. Say that the opponent's range is something like all pairs, all broadway, all suited aces, and all suited connectors. If you had A5s say, and accounting for card removal ...


1

Since 4:1 are the correct odds for that scenario, it seems that the sentence "If you make this call four times, mathematics says that you will hit your draw once." was a mistake, rather than an error. Their intention was probably to say that for every four times you lose you'll win one, or for every five times you play you'll win one. In any case, your ...


1

I only read a part of your question but you can indeed call when odds are not in favor. Implied pot odds is what it's called. Basically you calculate that what you payed too much, you will receive back at the next street(s). An example: Hero and Villain play a pot. On the turn you have a flush draw (giving you 9 outs). This is more or less 19% chance of ...


1

It's hard to do all the exact math to get the exact percentages while you're sitting at the table and everyone is staring at you while you noodle your chances. You have to do it all in your head in less than a minute. The other methods described here are actually more accurate, but I don't think that getting the exact percentage is that important, but you ...



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