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8

My interpretation is that mathematically, the expectation in EV is taken across the probability distribution of poker cards that are yet to be dealt in a particular hand as well as the randomness in opponents' play, and it is assumed that every other piece of information (including situation, position, etc) you can have is already taken into account when you ...


3

You should always be looking for the weak players first. So this would be things like limping, severely under-betting the pot, playing bad hands etc. With regulars you want to try and figure out which ones are weak and which ones are aggressive. Weak players will fold to 3Bets too much and give up easily postflop. Aggressive players will play back at you too ...


3

This is likely to be very situation dependent. There is however, a section in the PokerTracker tool that analyses the range of common actions that players have taken, (eg. Cbet flop, fold to flop Cbet, 3bet stats, aggression stats, etc.), and gives a broad estimate of how often profitable players are taking those actions, whilst comparing your stats ...


2

No, the EV is the EV. But probability is a function of knowledge. Your estimate of the likelihood of the various events that go into your calculation of EV will change over time with new information, so that what may seem like the "same situation" to you at different times might actually be a very different situation when you take into account your added ...


2

In this case "short term" implies that you may have specific situational context that might be relevant to this narrow class of decisions. Say you're in a NLHE game and you have aces pre-flop and you know that you're sitting immediately to the right of a a big-stacked aggressive opponent who will very often punish your limp with a big raise. Since he's been ...


2

If everyone is folding to your raises more often than they should, raise more hands. This is particularly true if you have tighter players on your left and action is folded to you. You can either steal blinds pre-flop or win post-flop with a single continuation bet many times when your opponent misses. Sometimes when you have a great hand like AA, nobody ...


2

There can be a few approaches that people use when deciding when to pack up and leave. Like yourself people get to a certain amount won and are happy and leave. For me personally I'll stop when I no longer feel I have an edge over the table, I feel tired, the game is slowing down/breaking or when I no longer feel I am playing the best I can play. I think its ...


2

EV is pure math and is based on cards. Although there are cases as @Chris Farmer said where the EV may be positive but even the slight chance that you have to lose should ignore the EV. Such case are the satellite tournaments where a number of players get exact prize and another number of players get exact nothing. In such cases a 80+% winning chance (or ...


1

I would wait as long as possible to buy in and focus on making it to the time of the add-on. I'd approach the question this way--how many chips do you expect to have after level 6 and what do you expect to spend for either of the following two scenarios: 1) you buy in right away or 2) you wait until as long as you can. For the second scenario, assume ...


1

learn poker rules Watch poker videos,Practice play a lot


1

It sounds like you're playing against really loose aggressive players (very typical in zoom, along with very tight players. Not much middle ground) One good way to play against them is to wait for really premium hands and be super aggressive. So if they raise, raise them back. If they come over the top, I like to just call and then bet big/raise on the flop. ...


1

This happens to everybody in poker at times. It is important to keep your cool during periods like this and just keeping making the correct folds. Most players at these stakes are really passive and they usually have exactly what they are representing.


1

Going by probabilities where the expected value is the average of the sums of all possible outcomes in the set, the standard application of EV in poker is for hand analysis, meaning did I make the right decision based on the current pot, cards, and previous play. In this sense we are dealing with constant values and your best estimation of the opponent and ...


1

For me, the best way to play Aces is to sometimes limp-in and other times raising preflop. In the games I play, if I raise 15 to 20 it doesn't surprise me to to get 3 to 5 callers. The problem I run into, is let's say I get 3 callers of 20 dollars, now there 80 in the pot and, even with a good flop for Aces, it's so hard to know where my opponents are at. ...


1

EV is a mathematical term that only makes sense on the long run. In probability theory, the expected value of a random variable is intuitively the long-run average value of repetitions of the experiment it represents Thus there's just one value of EV which more or less translate to "the expected total value if we were to repeat this draw an infinite (or in ...


1

Zeb, this question just might get closed, because if your wondering why you get bad beats at the river is not really an answerable question. Everyone gets bad beats, and you are no exception. You might however get more bad beats then average and it might seem to you that you are getting more bad beats. This may be because of the way you think, and the way ...



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