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8

What was your position ? Q♥6♥ is a hand I would've only played only for a steal (maybe) or in SB (also maybe). It's less than an average hand. The fact also you got 3 callers sounds like you were in a very loose table. I expect at least one out there to have a better Q than yours. CBet was reasonable, but the bet size was plain wrong in my ...


6

My interpretation is that mathematically, the expectation in EV is taken across the probability distribution of poker cards that are yet to be dealt in a particular hand as well as the randomness in opponents' play, and it is assumed that every other piece of information (including situation, position, etc) you can have is already taken into account when you ...


5

OK, let's break it down mathematically. I'm going to use a standard poker equity calculator for this. You have T⋄ 9⋄ You say the all-in player had a medium pocket pair. For this "exercise", let's pick 8♠8♣ Let's consider the third player a typical tight-agressive player, in this case with a standard 18% Range of hands preflop ...


4

The problem with with making a standard raise with an M under 5 is that you will be left with a stack that is too low if you lose the pot. If a standard raise for this tournament is 2.5BB then you are raising to 2K to open the pot. If only the big blind calls you now have a 5K pot and a stack of 6K behind. Should you decide to push all in at this point your ...


4

No one has answered the actual answer to the question. ICM. ICM stands for Independent Chip Model, taking storm in the late 2000's. ICM determines the value of chips at a given point in the tournament based on pay structure, and players remaining. In essence, the more chips you accumulate, the less they are worth, since the tourney is not a winner take all. ...


3

You should always be looking for the weak players first. So this would be things like limping, severely under-betting the pot, playing bad hands etc. With regulars you want to try and figure out which ones are weak and which ones are aggressive. Weak players will fold to 3Bets too much and give up easily postflop. Aggressive players will play back at you too ...


3

This is likely to be very situation dependent. There is however, a section in the PokerTracker tool that analyses the range of common actions that players have taken, (eg. Cbet flop, fold to flop Cbet, 3bet stats, aggression stats, etc.), and gives a broad estimate of how often profitable players are taking those actions, whilst comparing your stats ...


2

EV is pure math and is based on cards. Although there are cases as @Chris Farmer said where the EV may be positive but even the slight chance that you have to lose should ignore the EV. Such case are the satellite tournaments where a number of players get exact prize and another number of players get exact nothing. In such cases a 80+% winning chance (or ...


2

IMO, "free" poker is not a close match to cash poker, even at the lowest cash levels. Free poker is great at helping players learn the mechanics of the game and basic gameplay, but it totally misses the behavioral aspects. People act differently when there's money on the line. If possible, try to find an online site that is available in your area and play at ...


2

No, the EV is the EV. But probability is a function of knowledge. Your estimate of the likelihood of the various events that go into your calculation of EV will change over time with new information, so that what may seem like the "same situation" to you at different times might actually be a very different situation when you take into account your added ...


2

In this case "short term" implies that you may have specific situational context that might be relevant to this narrow class of decisions. Say you're in a NLHE game and you have aces pre-flop and you know that you're sitting immediately to the right of a a big-stacked aggressive opponent who will very often punish your limp with a big raise. Since he's been ...


1

EV is a mathematical term that only makes sense on the long run. In probability theory, the expected value of a random variable is intuitively the long-run average value of repetitions of the experiment it represents Thus there's just one value of EV which more or less translate to "the expected total value if we were to repeat this draw an infinite (or in ...


1

Zeb, this question just might get closed, because if your wondering why you get bad beats at the river is not really an answerable question. Everyone gets bad beats, and you are no exception. You might however get more bad beats then average and it might seem to you that you are getting more bad beats. This may be because of the way you think, and the way ...


1

The short answer to your question is not really, you still have a great number of trials to go through before you can expect to be a better then average poker player. Having said that you have a good start. Fast loose cash games that are akin to play money games require a certain style and knowledge to beat. Fast loose cash games are by far the most ...


1

OP - I'd like to see you add some more information to the post because we would need to know more about your stack size. Based on the info provided, I like your play. However, if the other player was short stacked, then you can assume that their play was out of desperation, as is common late in tourneys. So I would have liked to have seen you either fold ...



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