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May
20
comment Should I go all-in with AAs in this situation?
@Craig, you can never know if he has a monster or a J here. This is something you might extract from hud stats. If you're fond of these and have a tracker, you may want to check how much he raises the flop C-bet (Raise F CBet). Generally, i don't like to fold my aces right here, and also don't want to put more money with a pair by a re-raise, bloating the pot. I just want to keep the pot small for a pair. Additionally, the pot odds are 35% and you winning chance is about 85% here, your EV is about +80 $. If you plan to re-raise, you commit about 50% of your stack, fold is weak.
May
18
answered Should I go all-in with AAs in this situation?
May
16
comment Multiple Table Online Play
I don't know about SnG specifically but the more tables you add, the more robotic your play and more weak in general, that will lead to less winrate. There are certainly guys that multi-table 24 or even more (!) tables but they didn't end up that easy. If you can't cope as you say with 10, the next step is to lower down a bit, not a lot. Since you can play max ~10, try 8 or 6. Find your sweet spot where you can breath between plays without feeling you run for it and still maintain a good quality and winrate.
May
15
comment What are the odds of winning a tournament?
@DanTilkin, probably for the short stacks, not the big ones. Flatter structures helps the smaller stacks in my opinion since less shoves are required (depending on player's style), however in opposite situations more shoves are required, if not forced. That certainly has to change the winning chance overall.
May
15
comment What are the odds of winning a tournament?
In addition, the starting stacks or blinds levels (timely) may matter as well. As @Chris said, ICM should definitely be considered, in combination with the prize structure (it's flat? it's skewed to first places?). A structure that favors only 3 places may greatly reduces the winning chances since the game will turn loose/aggro in late stages, increasing the already high MTT variance.
May
8
comment Odds Calculation Texas Hold'em
i have as well developed such an evaluator, although what i do is just simulating a big number of 7-card hands between 2+ players to find the percentage of win you're seeking about. I doubt if there's a formula to calculate the winning chance, either preflop or on flop without actually simulating a ton of hands.
May
8
comment Odds Calculation Texas Hold'em
If you already coded your program, you then can use Pokerstove directly to test if your results you get are correct. Instead of Enumerate all selection bottom-right you select Monte Carlo.
May
8
comment What actions can I take to safely convince others that I am a bad player?
Try to be more Tony G and Poker Brat, they trying to do exactly what you want. In any case, trying to play the opposite of your original style may shows better results than trying to look more idiot on the table.
Apr
30
comment How can I improve my MTT end game?
Good question. There are also 2 very good books on the subject, Harrington on Hold’em, Expert Strategy for No Limit Tournaments; Volume II: Endgame and Winning Poker Tournaments One Hand at a Time Vol. 2
Apr
30
accepted Push/Fold situation
Apr
29
comment Push/Fold situation
very reasonable, i frequently forget to compare their contribution to the pot, as i think more the chance i'm gonna get called by others. My conclusion is that the lower my stack and M and early position, the less thought i should give to stats and sophisticated play and instead play directly the tables as if there wasn't any action. Thanx!
Apr
28
revised Push/Fold situation
deleted 1 character in body
Apr
28
asked Push/Fold situation
Apr
28
revised Specific Hand recommended action
added 57 characters in body
Apr
28
revised Specific Hand recommended action
added 250 characters in body
Apr
28
answered Specific Hand recommended action
Apr
24
comment Odds of three people at a 9 ring game having the same hole cards
Never thought about this but i've played many hands that ended with all of us having some kind of Ax variation, so it can't be that uncommon. This variation seems more useful than try to find the exact hole cards.
Apr
12
comment Are online poker sites rigged?
No, this is only bad players blaming the sites for being so aggros. You need to ask serious players and not donks. Greg, the guy behind thepokerbank is one of the serious guys, the guys that stream their games on twoplustwo forums are the serious, winning guys. Everyone else that cries out loud about bad beats is a bad loser.
Apr
7
answered Are there statistics that show the percentage of times you should fold at each stage of Texas Hold'em?
Apr
4
answered Texas Holdem questions