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Aug
21
comment 1/2 NL Decision
I am an online player so I am not sure about live play but your sizings are all off. 10$(5bb) is too big preflop even for isolation raise and then on the flop you raise 15$ which is less than 50% of the pot(too little in my opinion). This small sizing might invite players to bluff you and you should note that. That said after the raise you are behind his value range that starts with AQ so you can fold but his sizings are almost a joke too so he was also unintentionally looking weak.
Aug
12
answered Number of hands played by a November Nine?
Jul
28
comment How do you know that you “got your money in good”?
The theory is that you should look at his range and his stats and predict his response e.g. he can have ak,kk,aa, he would fold only ak(you decide that from board and his stats) so there is 10/22=45% he will fold(this is clearly oversimplified) Something I do is look at the hands I lost the most and discuss them with more experienced players because they are the ones where I most likely did not get my money in good. Many hands will require a throughout analysis and discussions to put him on a range and decide all the what ifs especially if you did not reach showdown. Sorry for the late reply
Jul
25
comment Pot odds for chasing a flush against unknown opponent
You are only partially right the fact that chasing depends on weather or not he bets big on turn. I just want to point out that if he always bets big on turn and you already got your flush you will get a lot more money out of the hand ( even though you had less chance to get it with only 1 card) In poker language - vs agressive players you have better implied odds so you might still want to call if he gives good odds on the flop
Jul
25
answered How do you know that you “got your money in good”?
May
23
comment Odds of 2 pair running into trips on a paired board
You need to provide way more information if you want a complete answer - live/online, stakes, stack sizes, number of players, preflop action. Observations on players and stats are also be useful to put villain on a range. Then the math is easy and if you want to be 100% accurate you can use free tools like - pokerstrategy.com/poker-tools/equilab-holdem
May
5
comment Unexpected aggression and a premium hand
@Pops if my math is right on the turn there is 680$ in the pot and you have 100$ in your stack. Villan bets 120 (wich is efectively 100) and you have to pay 100 to try to win 780 wich is almost 1:8(so maybe you need to win it 1 out of 7 to be +EV). Also I wouldnt try to fit in a table dynamics that dictates 5BB raises preflop. You can exploit it by 3-beting a lot with either blufs or depolarized(tight) range depending on their calling tendencies
May
3
comment Unexpected aggression and a premium hand
Totally agree! Also probably you dont need to give that much credit to your image especially if you are tight. Not that many players will take it into consideration when they make a decision.
May
3
comment Unexpected aggression and a premium hand
I am confused if the blinds are 1/2 is your opening raise 20 BB ? And regardless is it accurate that on the turn you have 2/3 of your stack in ? If that is the case you have the pot odds to shove vs 2 pair and you simply cannot fold. Since the board is so dry you will be in a bad spot now and then but you have to win this hand 1 in 8 times to be +EV
Apr
29
awarded  Revival
Apr
17
answered When to bet/check with the pot very big?
Apr
16
awarded  Commentator
Apr
16
comment When to call all-in in heads-up game?
Here after I had my 10 minutes of fun with ICMIZER bofore it ruthlessly redirected me to the purchase page :). I think the numbers mean (call EV - fold EV) this is why they are lower and A4 is the last hand with a positive number. If you note that you have only 1 blind invested you can add a bit less than 50 to each one and they look allright.
Apr
9
comment How much must Hero bet for Villain to fold?
I dont get your reasoning. The fact the villan is short is the exact reason I would fold preflop.I wouldnt want to go all in pre with KQ for 50bb and if we just call on the flop we have no room to manuver since the effective stack is so low and the opponent has the lead and position on us. The fact that he is short will also take our potential implied odds for any draws we might hit. Thus I would opt for the call when the oponent has a larger stack and we can apply our skills to outplay him postflop.Furthermore I wouldnt want to be involved in a lot of pots with Gus from Braking Bad*shivers*:)
Apr
7
comment How long should I wait for a decent hand
Great answer! I just wanted to add that it might be easier for a beginner to look at some guides like this pokerstrategy.com/strategy/bss/1535/1( there are other good ones too) and then make adjustments with the tools sugested by brent.
Apr
2
comment Question on Strategy Calculation (from Bill Chen's Book Math of Poker)
The thing is that to me the sentence "so the probability values below are conditional on A betting." sounds more like an explanation that is added to the calculations below rather than a reminder that they are conditional since they are clearly calculating them as independent variables. Its kinda like "They are conditional but lets forget that for these calculations(because it doesnt really matter)". That said it does sound a bit like an excuse to simplify the math and if everything else is extremely rigorous I might be wrong.
Apr
2
answered Question on Strategy Calculation (from Bill Chen's Book Math of Poker)
Apr
2
comment Question on Strategy Calculation (from Bill Chen's Book Math of Poker)
I will look a bit more into it but I just want to point out that both answers yield the same logical conclusion if x>4% you should call :)
Apr
1
answered Can the optimal strategy for low stakes holdem be considered simpler as a general rule?
Mar
28
comment Top-pair and top-kicker (or good kicker) question
In general it is very hard to get an image of what loose opponents have(this is the advantage of playing loose) but your hand is big enough to not care. If he had a more substantial stack or your hand is weaker (compared to possible ranges) or you have a specific information that he is tight then you should pay more attention to pot control