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seen Jan 25 at 2:29

Jan
13
comment What are the advantages gained by those who cheat?
@ChrisFarmer: legit software like trackers & HUDs are allowed on most sites but that's because they only ever give information from past deals and never ever from the current deal. Anything scanning the deal in real-time and giving advices / infos is forbidden on most sites. PokerStars, for example, used to have (and may still have) a very long list of forbidden software.
Jan
13
comment What are the advantages gained by those who cheat?
@ChrisFarmer: on most site anything giving information about a deal currently being played are forbidden. Real-time odds calculator are forbidden. "Preflop folding bots" are disawolled (say you have configured your bot to fold, among others, 72o automatically for you when you're under the gun). Apps showing your opponent's range given his action (and given the flop) are disallowed. Real-time odds calculator in tournaments are very nasty: when the blind gets high and the stacks low, the game becomes much more mathematical. You don't want to play against bots making only EV+ pushes.
Jan
13
comment Probability of flopping straight flush
@user2582622: to me probabilities computation are always interesting (and StackExchange doesn't care much if something as already been answered a thousand times somewhere else: if anything, if it has been asked a thousand times somewhere else it should be on poker.SE too IMHO). Regarding your question, it depends what you're holding: if you have, say, 62s, you must hit exactly 3, 4 and 5. If you have, say, 76s, you can hit T98s, 985s, 854s, 543s, ... So the answer depends on the which two cards you're holding.
Dec
15
comment What is the correct calculation to make various combinations of Hold'em hands?
I don't disagree with what you're saying but this should be a comment, not an answer. This is not how StackExchange work: you are not supposed to answer "try again", no matter how correct your comment. Answers should be left to actual answer and people shouldn't upvote answers which aren't answers.
Dec
13
comment Do Odds Change if Count of Players at Table Change?
(*) See my answer in this thread: poker.stackexchange.com/questions/410/…
Nov
5
comment Kill game, how does it change your starting hand value?
"...please disqualify yourself from answering". Please stop giving orders and being rude to other users. In another comment you asked an user to "think" and "please delete your question". Now you're asking others to "please disqualify yourself from answering". I'm sorry but that is extremely rude and this is not how StackExchange works. Nobody would be losing anything if you were to begin to show some courtesy in your questions / comments / meta posts.
Nov
2
comment Missing the flop with AK
@Jon: note by the way that this is StackExchange and comments like "do us a favor and delete this question" simply because you do not like it have zero place on StackExchange sites. If you don't like this question, vote to close it. Moreover theoretical questions like pure probabilities ones (say "How many different possible five cards boards exists?") which are in no way related to improving one's skills are totally fine here.
Nov
2
comment Missing the flop with AK
@Jon: and don't get me wrong: I'm not saying that a 0.02% chance means nobody is going to experience that. It's a mathematical fact that some players are bound to experience that: but it is nonetheless extremely rare. During my years as an online poker players I've lived through several scandals (including but not limited to the AP/UB one where the software was rigged to allow superuser accounts) and one of the reason I've been a winning player is that I knew when to left shaddy sites.
Nov
2
comment Missing the flop with AK
@Jon: Totally disagree. It is a known and documented fact that there are rigged online poker websites out there (there are even companies advertising poker server software for which the "riggedness" is configurable at will). There's a 0.02% chance of not flopping at least a pair 22 times in a row when holding AK: if this happened to OP, he's totally right to ask such a question. To me if this happened to OP and if OP is playing on one of the lesser known and potentially shaddy site, this may be a good time to try one of the more legit site out there.
Oct
20
comment How do I calculate the odds of making a four of a kind by the river given I have a pair?
For the sake of completeness: there's 10.77% to flop a set, 0.74% to flop a full house and 0.245% to flop quads, which adds up to 11.75%. This 11.75% corresponds to the often mentioned "7.5:1" (1 / 8.5 is "7.5 to 1") odds to improve to a set or better at flop when you hold a pocket pair.
Oct
20
comment How do I calculate the odds of making a four of a kind by the river given I have a pair?
(*) when you go to the flop your opponents is, for example, much more likely to hold AA than 72o. Studies over billions of online hands have shown that the distribution of flop cards is skewed due to this kind of "card removal effect" or whatever it is called.
Oct
20
comment How precise is math in the heat of battle?
are you sure you can tell someone who's really calculating something from someone who is pretending to be calculating something? There are people who can do really great acting while their eventual action is a no-brainer. By taking time (say by trying to compute mentally "9879 times 3642"), they'd then put you off: you'd start thinking they have a hand requiring complicated calculation and you'd then totally miss their no-brainer hand. I really don't think "calculating" can be counter-productive because there's no way to know for sure one is doing that.
Sep
29
comment Run it more than once
@nsw: this... It reduces the variance due to all-ins. Note that "just chop the pot based on your equity" would require everybody in the deal who folded to reveal their holecards, which some players who folded would probably have issue with.
Jul
25
comment Four of a kind and Three of a kind at the same time. What are the odds?
A p of 0.0000046624 instead of 0.00000116605 is still not an excuse for OP to hold his K3 ; )
Jul
25
comment Four of a kind and Three of a kind at the same time. What are the odds?
note that (13 * 12 * 4) / C(52,7) is identical to my result.
Jul
25
comment Four of a kind and Three of a kind at the same time. What are the odds?
that is not correct, your p is too low... From the moment you have quads "AAAA", there are C(4,3) possible ways to make a set of, say, "222" with a deck which has four deuces. Computing it the way you did (drawing 7 cards from the deck), p is: (13 * 12 * 4) / C(52,7) if I'm not mistaken. I took another approach and gave the two p depending on whether you start with a pocket pair or not.
Jul
22
comment How do you know that you “got your money in good”?
Bean: are you asking specifically about calling all-in or betting/raising all-in (in which case you also have fold equity) or both?
Jul
7
comment Is there a situation where just calling is justified with AK on a QKA suited flop?
@David Hirst: You wrote: "At the very least they have AK with a spade." But the board is AKQ and OP said it was all spades, so a player cannot have both AK and a spade. Which is kinda important because there are several hands which can have hit that board hard but still be very vulnerable to a fourth spade. So you may want to edit a bit that paragraph of your answer.
Jun
27
comment How good are the best poker bots?
(...) in No-Limit Hold'em. And that is not just for today's machine: unless major discoveries are made in AI there's simply no way No-Limit Hold'em are able to compete with good players. Regarding cheating: yes, it is considering cheating and PokerStars, for example, actively chases bots (and confiscates any fund found on botters' account). They scan the memory of the computer, they analyse mouse & click movements / patterns / etc. Bots also have a very hard time on site where players can regularly change their screen names...
Jun
27
comment How good are the best poker bots?
despite sharing many of the same rules, Limit Hold'em and No-Limit Hold'em are two entirely different game from a game theory standpoint. Limit Hold'em is pretty much fully "solved" and the best bot can play basically as well as the best Limit Hold'em players in the world. No-Limit Hold'em? There may be a few bots at the lower stakes on the poker sites which do not heavily track them able to grind some money, but there's no way a No-Limit Hold'em bot is winning a major tournament any time soon. The combinatorial explosion of possible game states is way too big (...)