332 reputation
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bio website none
location United Kingdom
age 23
visits member for 2 years, 9 months
seen Mar 10 at 20:15

Undergraduate mathematics student


Apr
28
comment Short stack play - best way to deal with it?
"If you're a larger/leading stack, you don't tend to want to take the chance and call the bluff of these kinds of players in case they luck out and you lose your lead over something like that" this seems a bit strange, If you have a big stack you should be lookng to get in ahead, people sucking out is part of poker to fold hands because you are afraid that you opponent will suck out is massively -ev
Apr
28
comment Short stack play - best way to deal with it?
@Bogdan I am a bit confused as to what you are trying to say that the gap principle is here, what do you mean by "the difference between high and low cards" the gap principle usually refers to the difference in hands that you will open with and hands that you will call with.?
Apr
10
comment Considering Weighted Ranges
I'm sorry but I have to disagree with what you are saying. When I am taking about weighting the range its not about the likliness of the hands being dealt it is about the likiliness of the player playing the hand in that way. For the second point it seems that you are more just taking about ranges and I disagree with what you are saying but its not really relevant. Thanks for the replp
Apr
9
comment Mathematical Derivation of the Chen Formula
@Imorin Yes, clearly 76 will perform better against some hands, and saying that we need to look at it against a range of hands is kind of obvious but I am interested in specifically what the chen formula is measuring. For example we could get it by simply testing each hand against a suitable range of hands looking at its ev and then grouping it. But I don't know how the chen formula is derived and until I do I won't know what it is really saying. The example is just a naive example to show that the chen formula is not measuring hand strength in an absolute way (which is clearly not possible)
Apr
8
comment Easy to remember push/fold/callpush table/formula
@RaduMurzea I'm sorry but that is the sort of poker thinking that was prevalent maybe 20 years ago and the game has somewhat moved on. Using various "formula" is now a big part or poker theory and play and is very +ev, once you start thinking about things in a range analysis sort of way you are starting to get a bit more serious about poker and wil need maths all the time. Moreover being predictable is not always a bad thing, if you are short stacked you will be shoving a certain percentage of hands- not doing this would be unpredictable but in this situation massively -ev
Apr
7
comment Difference in strategies with stakes?
I think when you say stakes you mean blinds, the stakes for the tournament are always the same, its the buy in, in this case nothing
Mar
17
comment Tough decision on the turn
I'm not sure I agree with your range analysis really. Why have you included JJ but not KK,AA? I would also put this as a bluff most of the time (depending on the player) The bet of 1800 is probably going to price a lot of draws in and with the brick on the turn they have not got there, then when the player shows some weakness (and remembering the button has a much? bigger stack) it seems like there is a great chance that is a bluff really. I would give the button in a decent game credit for a pretty wide range and I would be jamming (remebering stack sizes)
Mar
17
comment Tough decision on the turn
I think if its a decent level game (and the stack sizes) then the buttons range is probably pretty wide and so with the brick on the turn I am just jamming the rest of my stack in
Mar
17
comment Tough decision on the turn
@DonkeyFish Cool, the stack sizes are pretty important. I will post an answer later probably as I don't have that much time just now. In general I would say that middle pair on a board like that is easily worth a c-bet (I'm c-betting there with any two) but 1800 into a pot of 3700 with the relative stack sizes and two players is always going to get a call (it's got the right odds for a lot of draws and bluff frequency) so I think you have to know what you are going to do in the turn before you make that bet or make a bigger bet.
Mar
17
comment Tough decision on the turn
I know it's not very helpful but these are really the kind of considerations that you should take before you make the bet on the flop. It's a tough spot and I would lay it down I think, however it is maybe not great play to put yourself in that position. What were the other players stacks?
Mar
16
comment Poker etymological dictionary
I don't think there will be a dictionary explaining the etymology of poker slang as some of it is quite obscure. For example I have no idea why broadway is called broadway, I mean it makes sense you could say something like- "there's nothing better than broadway" (comparing it to theatre) but I don't actually know where it comes from. There are some cases where you might be able to find out though, for example the term "three bet" doesn't really make much sense in NLH but that is because it has its origins in PLH
Mar
14
comment Position advantage on the table and odds
People should note, and you should maybe edit your question to reflect this, that this table is only a table of expected value froma sample of hands it is not an absolute calculation
Mar
12
comment Pocket pair starting hands vs. probability of opponent having a pocket pair
If you are wondering why the wiki entries are wrong then I think it is because the probabilities were treated as independent instead of dependently. If I have time I will try to post an answer showing how you would actually calculate these entries. It is worth noting that the table you provide is just from a simulation of 1 million hands and so not exact (although it is accurate enough for any purposes)
Mar
11
comment Pocket pair starting hands vs. probability of opponent having a pocket pair
Also you might want to consider treating the probabilities as discrete distributions as everything is equally likely. This is obviously not possible for even small calculations but it gives better understanding of what is going on. If we use the die example with just 2 rolls we see that the possible combinations are: {11,12,13,14,15,16,21,22,23,24,25,26,31,32,33,34,35,36,41,42,43,44,45,46,51,52,5‌​3,54,55,56,61,62,63,64,65,66} Now that is 36 possibilities each as likely as each other and 25 don't have a 6 so there is 25/36=0.694r chance of not having a 6
Mar
11
comment Pocket pair starting hands vs. probability of opponent having a pocket pair
What relation does this answer have to the question?
Mar
11
comment Pocket pair starting hands vs. probability of opponent having a pocket pair
can I suggest a more descriptive post title. I think a lot of calculations are strange. Maybe something to do with starting hands and pocket pairs.
Mar
9
comment At what point does poor etiquette turn into cheating?
what do you mean by mixing up his chips? Are you not allowed to arrange your chips are you please?
Mar
9
comment The Importance of Mathematics in Poker
I'm not sure the idea that because we have incomplete information that means that it will never be a purely mathematical challenge. I'm not saying that poker is a purely mathematical challenge but there is a lot (most of applied maths) maths dedicated to treating situations where we have incomplete information.
Mar
7
comment Is Colin Moshmans Book Still A Relevant Micro SNG Reference
Thanks. Although it is the same game you are playing against other people and their strategies so when they change you need to change. For example if you picked up supersytem and played online in micro sng and even at higher stakes you will get crushed (or at least not doe that well)
Mar
7
comment When to fold AA pre-flop?
should never be folding.