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visits member for 2 years, 6 months
seen May 1 at 2:51

Jan
2
comment Easy to remember push/fold/callpush table/formula
@hmmmm: being predictable is always a bad thing, unless your play approximates GTO. If I can put you on a specific shoving range and you do so too often (or not often enough), I could adjust my calling range to exploit your shortcomings.
Jan
2
comment Easy to remember push/fold/callpush table/formula
@RaduMurzea: if that were true, then using most strategies would make you predictable - a formula is simply a strategy written down with mathematical jargon. Yes, any non-GTO strategy is exploitable by definition, but putting someone on a specific strategy can be made an extremely difficult if not impossible task. You can polarize your range, range-merge or use weighted randomization of actions (e.g. three-betting the same way with AA and air)
Feb
25
comment Add-on value and “bubble factor”
I must have not made my point clear enough - I'm not expecting a bubble factor, but rather "tighten up extremely because your stack is more expensive to rebuy than the value compared to the addon" factor...
Jan
28
comment Profitability of re-buys/add-ons when allowed
@Chris: Doesn't matter if re-buys are done at a flat rate (i.e. we're not considering the add-on phase here where a higher chip per dollar ratio could be offered) since a re-buy also contributes to the prize pool at a flat rate. Let's say you and I are playing against Phil Hellmuth in a re-buy tourney, and he just lost his stack. You and I both now each have 10K stacks => EV $100 if the main prize is $200. Now, if Phil re-buys and gets 1K chips for $10 that money goes into the prize pool. Both our EV is still $100 each! ICM calculation could become less linear with more than just 1st paying.
Aug
26
comment Profitability of re-buys/add-ons when allowed
Interesting point - assuming the two big stacks follow optimal strategy and don't enter direct confrontation, survival odds of the short stack are slim. At the same time I believe the structure allowing rebuys on the bubble to be completely unreasonable, especially for a flat payout structure.
Aug
26
comment Profitability of re-buys/add-ons when allowed
@Macro: afaik this is a pretty common way of calculating your tournament equity - and yes, I'm almost certain the assumption is inaccurate (most notably, fear/fold equity is ignored) but I have no better alternative or a way to prove it.
May
16
comment Most common freerolling situations in holdem?
@JeffreyBlake: that's exactly my thinking. And, since you can't confidently know if your opponent is drawing to such a hand, you can't know you're freerolling for a fact. As I speculated in the answer above, the term "free-rolling" could only be applied after the hands have been revealed, (somewhat similar to commenting on someone "drawing dead" - you can't know you're drawing dead until you see the opponent's cards... otherwise you wouldn't call would you? :)
May
16
comment Most common freerolling situations in holdem?
@JeffreyBlake: What about if you have a nut straight, are drawing to a nut flush but your opponent has three-of-a-kind and is drawing to full house or quads? Regardless of still having favourable odds, I don't believe this situation qualifies to be called a freeroll. Am I wrong?
May
13
comment Profitability of re-buys/add-ons when allowed
I'll dig into ICM but I am still arbitrarily unconvinced (sorry :); I guess I was hoping for some math as to confirm that an initial buy-in has higher ROI than a re-buy
May
13
comment is there an open source algorithm for a fixed limit holdem
@JeffreyBlake: whoa, whoa, whoa! That link is not comment material but is imo answer-worthy! Today I learned about the "poker" tag on SO
May
13
comment Maximizing profit post-bubble
Great assumptions! I'll leave the question open for a while longer though before accepting to see if anyone else is willing to contribute
Mar
22
comment Basic Strategy for Pokerstars ZOOM?
Thanks for pointing this out. I mistakenly assumed that hand history would not be saved unless you sit through to the end of the hand (ctrl+click fold) - clearly that is not the case.
Mar
21
comment Basic Strategy for Pokerstars ZOOM?
+1. I think I've read somewhere that FullTilt's patent on the game mode recently expired so other sites like PKR (meh) are introducing this too (more hands per hour = more rake :). I reckon it would be a close to perfect to pick up the game math without focusing on opponent behaviour patterns - but it could easily get costly for a novice player.
Mar
21
comment Basic Strategy for Pokerstars ZOOM?
@TobyBooth: done. I'll have too keep reminding myself of this however - I find it hard keeping the Q&A form unless it's a specific hand analysis, and even than aqdvocates of different theories could get into a lengthy debate
Mar
21
comment Is shoving all in with a weaker player the best strategy?
@JeffreyBlake: calling a shove with 57o seems incorrect to me given the blind levels and stack sizes, especially if the OP was not perceived as a loose player. If the places were reversed though, pushing w/ 57o strikes me like a more profitable call. Thoughts?