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seen Jul 14 '12 at 0:19

Jul
13
awarded  Scholar
Jul
13
accepted How to maximize expectation with pocket aces and an Aces Cracked bonus running
Jul
13
comment How to maximize expectation with pocket aces and an Aces Cracked bonus running
Also, the river analysis is exactly the kind of analysis I was looking for, but can you justify your optimal line for turn? I was playing that way (bet if I'm favored), but I don't know how to justify it.
Jul
13
comment How to maximize expectation with pocket aces and an Aces Cracked bonus running
There is a $3 drop for the house and a $2 drop for the progressive jackpot fund, which funds more than the aces cracked bonus. Theoretically, the house pays out all of that $2 drop eventually.
Jul
13
comment How to maximize expectation with pocket aces and an Aces Cracked bonus running
I was wrong on my pot sizes (since corrected) but you are also wrong. The bet size on the flop is $3, so 5 bets = $15, not $30.
Jul
13
revised How to maximize expectation with pocket aces and an Aces Cracked bonus running
Corrected pot sizes
Jul
2
comment How to maximize expectation with pocket aces and an Aces Cracked bonus running
So, I should have checked the turn and re-raised on the river to get the most if my set of aces hold up. I can agree with the check on the turn, but I have a hard time with the re-raise on the river. If he doesn't have the nuts - say just a two or a set of 4's he may fold. If he folds a loser, I don't get any more money. If he calls with a loser I get an extra $6. But if he folds a winner I lose ~$130 ($200 - pot size).
Jul
1
comment How to maximize expectation with pocket aces and an Aces Cracked bonus running
The player had been passive during the rest of the hand (and during most of the night). The only hand that beats me on the river is a 2, but his raise on the end makes me believe he has it, so I think I'm beat. I win the pot if my set of aces holds up, but I don't get the $200 unless they are beat. So rather than trying to extract the most money, I am trying to spend the least amount of money to win the $200 bonus.
Jul
1
awarded  Editor
Jul
1
comment How to maximize expectation with pocket aces and an Aces Cracked bonus running
Sorry, I said it was 3-6, which means $3/$6 LHE, so the raises are fixed size. Also, this was live. I have edited the question to hopefully make that more clear.
Jul
1
revised How to maximize expectation with pocket aces and an Aces Cracked bonus running
Clarified stakes and conditions.
Jun
30
awarded  Student
Jun
30
asked How to maximize expectation with pocket aces and an Aces Cracked bonus running
Apr
10
awarded  Supporter
Jan
17
comment Why is it easier to make a flush than a straight with four cards already matching?
So if you have 3 cards to straight with a gap, e.g. 3,4,6, it's still harder to make your straight than to make your flush with 3 suited cards because there are only 32 combinations that will make your straight. (Is that right math?)
Jan
10
awarded  Precognitive