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seen Apr 27 '13 at 21:43

Jul
10
awarded  Popular Question
Mar
7
awarded  Yearling
Jan
25
awarded  Popular Question
Apr
13
revised Systematic all-in
deleted 8 characters in body
Apr
13
revised Systematic all-in
Getting closer to a mathematical answer
Apr
13
comment Systematic all-in
I think we have to assume that. Otherwise as soon as villain wins a hand, he would have to get up and leave the table, because the only way he can ever play another hand is if he calls all in with his now 10x buy in. (Since hero with more chips is all in every hand.)
Apr
13
comment Systematic all-in
cont... if they lose some hands to a 100bbs player they only lose 100bbs. The chances of any one player winning 3 in a row is just 1/100 (since anyone can win the first one to reset the count). Of course, hero's stack can grow well beyond 10000bbs every time he clears the table, and every else is reset, so the stars may need to align a bit in the beginning for hero to start worrying.
Apr
13
comment Systematic all-in
Here's what I'm thinking: suppose a 10 person table and everyone goes all in every hand, and a villian wins 3 in a row. After the first hand they have 1000bbs, hero has 9900, and everyone else rebuys for 100. After hand 2, villian has 2800, here has 8900, and everyone else rebuys for 100. After hand 3, villian has 6400, hero has 6100, and everyone else buys in for another 100. So someone has to win 3 hands in a row to but hero into second place. The chances of the villain winning 3 in a row are 1/1000, but, the reality is that it doesn't have to be in a row,
Apr
13
comment Systematic all-in
Intuitively to me I thought the table could devise a strategy to win, and you seem to feel the opposite. But your thought might be based on a guess of 40% win probability. Suppose 9 other players all agreed to call every hand and split up hero's winnings later if they break him. Might that tip the scales in their favor? Hmmmm.... maybe not- even if hero wins 1/50 hands instead of 1/10, he might still clear the table each time it happens.
Apr
13
comment Systematic all-in
@TobyBooth - yep- you're correct!
Apr
13
comment Who has the higher hand: 44 vs. A2 on a JJKK2 board?
The popular term for this situation is called "counterfeited": something which has value suddenly has no value due to the board making a better hand.
Apr
12
comment Systematic all-in
Agreed this would be identical as long as he rebuys for the same as the largest stack at the table. Then the question is how many hands before he burns through 10000 BBs.
Apr
12
answered Systematic all-in
Apr
12
revised Quantifying the amount of luck required to win a tournament
add reasoning for posing the question
Apr
12
comment Quantifying the amount of luck required to win a tournament
Great answer. You pose a lot of questions and provide a lot of scenarios which make my original suggestion for how to quantify luck less useful. I will edit the question with my reasoning behind the original question.
Apr
12
answered Quantifying the amount of skill required to win a tournament
Apr
12
comment Quantifying the amount of luck required to win a tournament
@IharS, your update to the answer makes a lot of sense. This is exactly the kind of idea I was aiming for.
Apr
11
awarded  Citizen Patrol
Apr
10
revised Heads Up NL Holdem: Best strategy against all in every hand
added 1038 characters in body
Apr
10
revised Heads Up NL Holdem: Best strategy against all in every hand
added 1038 characters in body