4,203 reputation
21034
bio website twitter.com/tmte
location London, United Kingdom
age
visits member for 2 years, 6 months
seen 1 hour ago

Currently: Betting on everything, everywhere.


Feb
28
comment NL400: Live Hand vs Semi-Loose Passive Player At Dry Board. What Would You Do?
Like you say I'm estimating, and I only take mental notes. I do my best to stay alert, be accurate and watch everything. For VPIP I count hands played per orbit along with SD hands which I extrapolate ranges from. PFR is just a subset of this, looking for frequency of calls to raises to guess ranges. AF is a post-flop stat (a ratio), where I count for raises vs calls for each street. It's can be alot at first but it gets easier. Knowing the formulas, along with a lot of experience makes my estimates better. Though, table dynamics will affect this heavily.
Feb
20
comment What are the most important things to consider when choosing a poker coach?
+1. Nice answer JB. I figured you'd be someone who'd be able to answer this. :)
Feb
16
comment Is online poker legal or not in the United States ?
A good resource for current proceedings regarding the state of US law regarding poker is The Poker Players Alliance or theppa.org.
Feb
15
comment NL200: Deep Stacked IP; 4Bet pot
If you mean his range percentage as an absolute figure (?) (i.e. commonly regarded top 15% best hands of 1326 Pre-flop combos), then he'd have to assume I'm 3 betting ~40% to estimate his PF equity >50%. This is very unlikely! If you're right the analysis is fair but personally, I think you've given him a vastly inflated PF range and this makes your assumption of his flop connection ratio inaccurate, similar to your other assumptions about our flop equity, and potential scare cards.
Feb
13
comment Spread Limit vs Pot Limit
What kind of advantages/disadvantages do you mean? Strategic? Organizational? Also, can you provide more details or a link on what a spread limit game is.
Feb
12
comment NL200: Deep Stacked IP; 4Bet pot
Other than maybe the current BB and UTG tangling a couple of times, it's not tense, if you know what I mean. No deep leveling going on, no maniacs, or people getting run over. Certainly not between me and the flop opponent (SB) anyway.
Feb
4
comment Call river all-in after missing flush-draw but hitting AK?
@JohnDibling If you can quantify your comment, and put it into a full answer it could be useful.
Feb
3
comment NL400: Vs a TAG Regular. Interesting River Decision
I bet the turn for value because I believe I still have enough equity to make it +EV. As for the river, it does change a few things which I noted in my answer. I actually think c/f is best now that his range is more defined than at the turn.
Feb
2
comment NL600: Should I Make This River Bluff vs Reg?
@CheckRaise In 6max NL600 where this was, 27/22 is more the norm. Also I agree, it's not true tight-TAG. That's why I called him a "semi-tight...TAG". It's subjective of course but that's the terminology I use to differentiate the in-betweeners.
Feb
2
comment Call river all-in after missing flush-draw but hitting AK?
@CheckRaise "Why do you think AQx is discounted?" Because of the Pre-Flop action. Also, he's closing the action after OP has raised and everyone involved still calls, so I'd still count all the A3x's due to the IO he's now getting.
Feb
1
comment Set Mining: betting pre flop with 22+
Sounds normal to me for a live 1-2 game :) The strategy you mention is definitely one you can derive from what I've said. And it sounds fine to me for that type of game. If it's over 175bb deep and as passive as you say I'd consider a ~5-7xbb open bet as a good start, although thats probably what you're doing already.
Feb
1
comment Set Mining: betting pre flop with 22+
You're misinterpreting what i'm saying, but I'll go over it again to clear it up.
Feb
1
comment Set Mining: betting pre flop with 22+
@JohnDibling Yeah, that's what I said.
Jan
31
comment NL600: Should I Make This River Bluff vs Reg?
It wasn't a snap call. It wasn't a lengthy decision either.
Jan
30
comment NL600: Should I Make This River Bluff vs Reg?
@Johndibling so you agree that I do in fact up vote answers, and if youve read the meta post I've linked (perhaps you can help answer it), you'd understand why "accepting is a technical dilemma. Ty for your answer anyway, really.
Jan
30
comment Optimal Win Rate Standard Deviation
OOPS! ;D Ignore the second part of my comment.
Jan
30
comment NL600: Should I Make This River Bluff vs Reg?
Why would you think that 3-betting Pre-Flop is "definitely" better than flatting? Also, as for reads on villain, that's not necessarily true. His quality is part due to his balance of bluffs to value hands. He's good because he's difficult to read. The number of hands is somewhat arbitrary as he may exploit others obviously, but that doesn't necessarily apply to how he reacts to me.
Jan
30
comment NL600: Should I Make This River Bluff vs Reg?
"He's not worried about kicker problems with Ax anymore." Why not?
Jan
30
comment NL600: Should I Make This River Bluff vs Reg?
Specifically, what proportion of my hands do you think have a queen in them (compared with my whole range), that I would check-raise with? When would I do this and why? Thanks.
Jan
30
comment Optimal Win Rate Standard Deviation
Yes, other than actually counting the hands you could do that. Also, consider determining your profitability in a game by Money Won Per Hour (or $Won/Hr). I find this a useful measure alongside bb win-rate to gauge my success.