4,228 reputation
21036
bio website twitter.com/tmte
location London, United Kingdom
age
visits member for 2 years, 8 months
seen 6 hours ago

Currently: Betting on everything, everywhere.


Sep
10
comment Research on the effect of a screen name or avatar in online poker
Gathering evidence on this would be heavily subjective, anecdotal, and prone to confirmation bias. Almost impossible to quantify in a meaningful way.
Sep
1
comment Simplest Way to Explain EV to Beginners
Could you provide some depth to the answer. Perhaps examples, some descriptive calculations. Thanks.
Sep
1
comment Simplest Way to Explain EV to Beginners
This is too short, so here is my quick "answer". Try explaining to yourself, simply but no simpler than is necessary. Write it down, keep honing and refining it. Put a few attempts up on the "chat" area, and maybe we can help. I'd be pleased to.
Aug
30
comment How can I use a player's decision to check blindly on the flop as a tell?
As ever, showdown evidence of a hand will say a lot about his thinking. Did you ever get that far?
Aug
25
comment NL100: Deep Stack Shoves On River. Do You Call?
What would you define as a "significant" overbet?
Aug
24
comment NL100: Deep Stack Shoves On River. Do You Call?
Against the full range you state, I have 93.20% eq. Against the villains "nut-range" derived from his full range you state, I have 69.44% eq. That's assuming he plays all hands this way, which is unlikely. Also, I did screw the calc up, doh! But, 370.80/204.80=1.81-to-1. In percentage terms, thats 1/(1.81+1)=36%. I still can't see how you got 41.64%?! I very much like to see the calculation, thanks.
Aug
24
comment What % of tournament winners do it without going all in
Do you have any sources for that information? What about additional info, like finishing positions related to playing tendencies?
Aug
24
comment NL100: Deep Stack Shoves On River. Do You Call?
First, equity is probably the wrong term as it's the river. I'm either winning or losing, no in between. Thus it comes down to number of winning combos vs losing combos. Also, how are you getting that number?! 41.64%? Edit the answer if the calc is too long for a comment :)
Aug
23
comment NL100: Deep Stack Shoves On River. Do You Call?
@Halvard You're right! Typo :) editing now.
Aug
23
comment NL100: Deep Stack Shoves On River. Do You Call?
So you believe villain is sometimes shoving 2.5 buyins with as little as Third Pair-No kicker?! Or even 22?! I'm forced to call 204.80bb to win 370.80bb (1.81:1) thus I need a 36% chance of winning to breakeven. If he shoves 2 pair even slightly less, it's much closer to -EV. I really don't think it's simple, at all. [edited incorrect percentage, 2013.08.24]
Aug
6
comment NL100: Can I Call This River Shove?
You can't possibly know that 3-barreling here is bad in my case. "Lucky" for me that I don't take this line every hand then! Yes, i'm sure learning to c/c & c/r will change my win rate(!), but speculating about adjustments to a broader strategy does little to address what to do in this particular hand history.
Aug
6
comment NL100: Can I Call This River Shove?
I understand what you say and it's reasonable. However, I never said I'd seen him make these moves. I can't see how you got that from the OP! It's more a gameflow read (not hard data like seeing a previous showdown), and was definitely the first time I'd been confronted with it. Does that affect your analysis?
Aug
6
comment NL100: Can I Call This River Shove?
Timid as in fearful & hesitant. It's my read that he's likely to fold too much when facing considerable aggression. Given that I believe he's uncomfortable in these situations, I also believe he's likely of making an error regarding the strength of the hands he can play against me.
Aug
3
comment Formula for making a single pair on the flop
@JustinCarlson Update/edit the original question to reflect the specifics that you're interested in.
Aug
2
comment NL100: Can I Call This River Shove?
He didn't have TT.
Aug
2
comment NL100: Can I Call This River Shove?
It occurred to me that check-call would be a better line here usually too!
Jul
30
comment What are the odds of being dealt exactly the same 2 hole cards in consecutive hands?
To get the hand once, yes. Twice in a row it's (1/1326) * (1/1326)
Jul
30
comment What are the odds of being dealt exactly the same 2 hole cards in consecutive hands?
Likelihood of one hand, multiplied by itself, (n) times, Where n=consecutive. I believe. Too short to be an answer really. One hand is 1 in 1326 for NLHE
Jul
29
comment How is Poker a game of skill?
Hi User1010. Just a quick note to say that readability is of great importance here, so structuring you sentences, using capitalization, all help improve the site, and inevitably your posts score. You can use the editing tool to do this :) Welcome to the site.
Jul
18
comment What different types of poker game are there?
Google isn't corporate?! ;)