4,218 reputation
21034
bio website twitter.com/tmte
location London, United Kingdom
age
visits member for 2 years, 7 months
seen 7 hours ago

Currently: Betting on everything, everywhere.


Jan
30
comment The Importance of Mathematics in Poker
Bluffing correctly would actually be part of a mathematically optimal strategy, so although it might be more frequent, without extra information about profitability, it's problematic to assume that it's more or less important than any single part of a total strategy.
Jan
30
comment The Importance of Mathematics in Poker
Nice post, but I think the specific example you give is incorrect. maybe a typo? The matchup you state give's the Hero ~82% equity at this point. Otherwise, the post brings up some interesting points.
Jan
28
comment How to use fpdb HUD in the game
Not sure if I've heard of it? Any links you could provide in the question would be helpful.
Jan
16
comment The right bluff frequency
@SonerGönül A "bluff" frequency calculation is just a weighted equity calculation where you would manipulate the folding frequency of the opponent to figure out if your action was +EV. So, yes, there is a formula.
Jan
13
comment Is it bad etiqutte for the whole table to agree to let someone blind out?
Did you all explicitly agree out loud?
Jan
11
comment Are there any good Poker hand history databases for free out there?
Possible duplication of "Publicly Available Poker Stats" question. There is a resource for poker hands in my answer here
Jan
9
comment Potential all-in rules, does any game use this rule?
@clinton my mistake. I mean "B or C". Edited.
Jan
9
comment Potential all-in rules, does any game use this rule?
In your scenario players B or C could open "fold" the flop and still see a showdown for the main pot. I might answer this later, but i can already see that this method is flawed/unfair. Interesting though.
Jan
8
comment Position advantage on the table and odds
Intuitively, I think it's obvious that being In-Position has a positive effect on how often a player wins a hand, thus a positive effect on equity. I'd also say that it would be incredibly difficult to quantify. It would be good to know though :)
Jan
8
comment The state of the art of the pokerbots of poker academy
It's not a whole answer, but I suggest looking at University of Alberta Computer Poker Research Group. Just how good a poker bot is will somewhat depend on you, so the question is very difficult to answer. CPRG is probably the most well known of research groups, so it's a good place to start.
Jan
6
comment Heads-Up And The Logic Of The Blinds
@CoryKendall Min-raising from the BTN 100% could certainly be profitable. It depends on the game dynamics. The depth of the stacks and SPR in play though would seem to me the most influential factors aside from strategy. The deeper the stacks, the less advantage position has.
Dec
24
comment What is top N% of hands in PokerStove?
@SonerGönül No, not only preflop. Yes, it can be for preflop, but technically it's for any street onward, and it always assumes that the calculation is to be run to showdown. Researching what "hot-and-cold equity" means will explain it further.
Dec
23
comment Position advantage on the table and odds
I think the question asks if its possible to quantify the effect of position on a players equity?!
Dec
21
comment Pot odds with low chip stack
@Chris I made some assumptions about the pot size, given the limited information that was provided. I noted that in the first of the points I stated, T$700 being the only amount offered. With this info, the situation is unsolvable so I used the answer to look at the concept of pot-odds rather than the situation.
Dec
6
comment What to do if we suspect online poker server is cheating
It's a shame you feel this way. "There is little you can do without proof" - I agree, yet you offer lots of examples with no proof of your assertions. "Action flops are so common..." - You have proof?. Also, you can program randomness. Stars published the results of it's RNG audit here by a company called Cigital who specialize in software security. They offer lots of white papers and publications on this subject.
Dec
6
comment How many chips do you have left?
@Chris Yes. If the players are taking turns as dealer then I'd say the responsibility is theirs to count chips, but in all seriousness, it's good etiquette, and there really is no advantage/disadvantage to letting players know. If there is, it's minuscule.
Dec
4
comment NL100: Turn Two-Pair at Wet Board Facing Small Bets
I'll edit the title. But to say we have a small sample and then assume it's clear he's fishy... I don't agree. :)
Nov
28
comment Should I call all-in here with bottom set?
(via @Chris) "It's interesting to see that mathematically there is a 42% chance the villain was holding just Q9."
Nov
26
comment Publicly available poker stats
You're welcome :). I hope it helps.
Nov
25
comment Adjustments to the rake?
@skeelsave When considering rake, as Tomas-Sima said, your skill advantage is probably the key consideration, as if you're breakeven EV-wise with your opponent(s) then rake makes that -EV. It's important to note that rake shouldn't be something you consider a significant aspect of EV, if at all. Primarily because rake is something you have no control over and is game specific, not player specific. Your EV however, is controllable and relative to your skill. Beat the game; beat the rake. In that order, never reversed. :)