4,296 reputation
21036
bio website twitter.com/tmte
location London, United Kingdom
age
visits member for 2 years, 11 months
seen 3 hours ago

Currently: Betting on everything, everywhere.


Mar
11
comment Pocket pair starting hands vs. probability of opponent having a pocket pair
If the current table has errors, perhaps replace it with the one that doesn't?!
Mar
11
comment Starting hands probability
Just to add additional info, as you mention, "Combinations" DON'T consider the relative order of items, whereas "Permutations" DO consider the relative order of items.
Mar
7
comment When to fold AA pre-flop?
Could you clarify how you came to the conclusion on percentage of BR to risk using Kelly. It seems off to me?!
Mar
6
comment Converting Backdoor Draws Into Equity
Nicely explained Chris. @emanuele using the "Rule of 4-2" will be valid for this if you modify it to use it more like a "Rule of 2-2" where you calculate the odds of ONLY the next combination of cards that you want. Look here to get some info on estimating the probability of drawing outs.
Mar
5
comment Converting Backdoor Draws Into Equity
@emanuele I've made a few edits to your question. If this wasn't your intention for the question to be structured this way, please don't hesitate to re-edit. After all, it's your question. I thought it was worth editing, and believed this is what you are trying to ask.
Mar
1
comment Mathematical Derivation of the Chen Formula
hmmmm, I appreciate your patience. You ask "How the Chen Formula is calculated?". In the potential duplicate question offered by @SoboLAN, the very first link gives the answer. Is that what you mean by "derivation"? If not, and I understand the term has a specific mathematical interpretation, then for the time being you may be asking the wrong group. That said, the formula is somewhat built from Chen's own empirical evidence, and some more precise research into NLHE mathematics. The question is potentially valid, I just get the feeling that users believe this Q has already been asked.
Feb
23
comment When to fold AA pre-flop?
@gonvaled So this isn't a question about equity then? If I have AA and I can afford to bet thousands of bb, or more, on this one hand then i'd do it in a heartbeat! 'Risk of Ruin' will factor into it, but that's relative to your individual preferences regarding going broke.
Feb
23
comment Mathematical Derivation of the Chen Formula
@hmmmm If you could clarify the specifics of the question you're asking and then use that as the title, that would help define the usefulness of this thread.
Feb
23
comment When to fold AA pre-flop?
@gonvaled If we're discussing limits regarding how much you're prepared to wager on a hand like this, then that's about bankroll/risk management and nothing to do with making correct decisions based on equity. Totally different question.
Feb
22
comment What happens if the card wasn't burned?
The cards are already randomized by the first shuffle so doing it again seems of little use. I suppose its reasonable either way.
Feb
21
comment What happens if the card wasn't burned?
@ChristopherLates Burning cards isn't used as a randomizing factor. It's to stop various methods of card finesse/cheating.
Feb
21
comment What happens if the card wasn't burned?
I've never seen nor heard of reshuffling the deck. Any casino i've ever been to doesn't do this. They just make others aware of the exposed card, still use it as a burn card, and then deal the normal sequence.
Feb
19
comment New school and old school
Hi @emanuele, I'm closing this question as it's too broad and doesn't have any definitive answer. "Old" and "New" school don't actually relate to any specific principles that differentiate them, significantly. Styles are arbitrary and as time passes, new styles dominate the current theory of poker.
Feb
14
comment Postflop play books references
Usually a good book will pull together the concepts of both Pre and Post flop play in a coherent way, so take a look at the suggestions at Classic Books for Texas Hold'Em for a good starting point.
Feb
13
comment NL200: Am I A Super-Nit For Considering Folding The Turn With TPGK?
I'm surprised that someone would perceive betting the wet flop, and double barreling an Ace turn card as definitely a bluff/weak hand! I'm interested to hear more from you about that line of thought :)
Feb
9
comment NL100: River Shove with Ace-High?
results? I'll add them later.
Feb
9
comment Does This Qualify As A Split Pot?
Community cards can be used by all players, thus your connection doesn't matter. Only the relative ranking of a players qualifying hand. As for the logic of it all, it's a man-made game, so if anything, the rules are arbitrary.
Feb
3
comment How to count the power of cards in hand?
I thought this answer from robotics.se Meta might be useful in improving this question. Perhaps rewording or adding to the question to help define the most important areas to study, relating to your problem.
Feb
3
comment Why is this a poor play?
As @corykendall states in this answer, I think you've misunderstood the context of what's written, regarding pre-flop and post-flop distinctions.
Feb
2
comment Can someone offer a comparison (pros and cons) of the sites that one can play for real money on in the US?
The comparisons in the original "duplicate" are a good representation of the depth of comparison between sites you'll ever get. I'll close this question for that reason.