4,237 reputation
21036
bio website twitter.com/tmte
location London, United Kingdom
age
visits member for 2 years, 9 months
seen 5 hours ago

Currently: Betting on everything, everywhere.


Dec
24
comment What is top N% of hands in PokerStove?
@SonerGönül No, not only preflop. Yes, it can be for preflop, but technically it's for any street onward, and it always assumes that the calculation is to be run to showdown. Researching what "hot-and-cold equity" means will explain it further.
Dec
23
comment Position advantage on the table and odds
I think the question asks if its possible to quantify the effect of position on a players equity?!
Dec
21
comment Pot odds with low chip stack
@Chris I made some assumptions about the pot size, given the limited information that was provided. I noted that in the first of the points I stated, T$700 being the only amount offered. With this info, the situation is unsolvable so I used the answer to look at the concept of pot-odds rather than the situation.
Dec
6
comment What to do if we suspect online poker server is cheating
It's a shame you feel this way. "There is little you can do without proof" - I agree, yet you offer lots of examples with no proof of your assertions. "Action flops are so common..." - You have proof?. Also, you can program randomness. Stars published the results of it's RNG audit here by a company called Cigital who specialize in software security. They offer lots of white papers and publications on this subject.
Dec
6
comment How many chips do you have left?
@Chris Yes. If the players are taking turns as dealer then I'd say the responsibility is theirs to count chips, but in all seriousness, it's good etiquette, and there really is no advantage/disadvantage to letting players know. If there is, it's minuscule.
Dec
4
comment NL100: Turn Two-Pair at Wet Board Facing Small Bets
I'll edit the title. But to say we have a small sample and then assume it's clear he's fishy... I don't agree. :)
Nov
28
comment Should I call all-in here with bottom set?
(via @Chris) "It's interesting to see that mathematically there is a 42% chance the villain was holding just Q9."
Nov
26
comment Publicly available poker stats
You're welcome :). I hope it helps.
Nov
25
comment Adjustments to the rake?
@skeelsave When considering rake, as Tomas-Sima said, your skill advantage is probably the key consideration, as if you're breakeven EV-wise with your opponent(s) then rake makes that -EV. It's important to note that rake shouldn't be something you consider a significant aspect of EV, if at all. Primarily because rake is something you have no control over and is game specific, not player specific. Your EV however, is controllable and relative to your skill. Beat the game; beat the rake. In that order, never reversed. :)
Nov
25
comment Folding AA after the flop?
I don't see any fault with betting 3K on the flop, as pretty much any bet should mean that Hero is committed to an All-In, which I think is best. That said, inducing a raise from villain then becomes a good thing, so 3K or even less as a cbet is reasonable I think.
Nov
25
comment Simple final table tournament play including push/fold
As valid as I think this question is, asking for a "simple" answer here is probably asking for too much...probably. I can't answer this as well as I'd like to, but a copy of Chen & Ankenmans "Mathematics of Poker" book is about as good of a look at the subject as you'll find, if you haven't already got it.
Nov
11
comment Straight + Flush draw on flop, is all-in worth to play?
@Chris Thanks :)
Nov
9
comment Folding AA after the flop?
Usually, a BB special refers to when a player in the BB has a trashy, often unplayable hand, and is fortunate to see a flop, where they hit a very strong, disguised hand. It's not meant to refer to good hands and common scenarios ;D
Nov
7
comment NL100: 2-Pair In 4-Way Pot Facing OOP Lead @ Wet Flop
You say a Value Bet is "out of {the} question", but later you say you make a bet to "make {the} opponent pay!"? Do you think a bet by Hero is most frequently a bluff? What sort of ratio would you say Hero is winning vs losing here? Thanks for the answer :)
Nov
5
comment What's a good strategy for playing overpairs post flop?
Check out the FAQ for ways to improve the question.
Nov
1
comment What's a good strategy for playing overpairs post flop?
The question is a bit too broad I think to get a (decent) answer, if any. Things like the suits of all cards involved, opponent types, game history, stack sizes involved, etc. The list could go on for a long time. Perhaps find a way to narrow down the question to a specific principle of NLHE and you may get a fast response.
Oct
26
comment 200nl - Flop top two on wet board and get squeezed OOP deep
@Silversana Go for it and answer it. I'd be happy to hear your thoughts, and how you made a decision.
Oct
26
comment 200nl - Flop top two on wet board and get squeezed OOP deep
@SoboLan's answer is OK, but calling is the worst option I think. Villain is aggro vs two opponents on a very wet flop. You can be almost certain he's continuing aggression at the Turn, and if you call, you're just gifting him the opportunity to draw out. I'd add the possibility of a made straight in there as well. To me, it's a clear fold. You don't really get worse to call, and better to fold.
Oct
25
comment Why is comparing hands based on how often they win a showdown or on their poker “hand rank” worse than worthless?
It probably doesn't warrant a full answer from me, so just to add... @silversana is right about the hyperbole I feel. The concept at play here is Relative vs Absolute hand strength. Pre-flop showdown equities are fine, for pre-flop only. Go any further and you can see how unreliable they can be due to board texture.
Oct
25
comment Are there well documented cases of winning tournament by someone who wasn't looking at his own cards?
I'd be willing to bet against your last statement. Also, although it's intuitively not best to consider your hole cards as "not so important", as OP states, I believe what the villain thinks about Hero's cards is more significant than what Hero actually has, for value or bluff situations.