Timeline for KK on small blind vs Calling Station
Current License: CC BY-SA 3.0
7 events
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| Mar 19, 2014 at 22:05 | comment | added | DPM | @TacticalCoder sorry, actually you are right, the odds of a straight draw with, say, 8 outs, are not so high. For the sake of precision I ran the calculations with pbots_calc (params: "kk:qto jh9d6c3h") and kk has 86%, and 90% with the villain's actual hand. So it was a correct play against a fish, as that guy was (a good player won't call a big bet unless he has a set or AA). | |
| Mar 19, 2014 at 16:38 | comment | added | TacticalCoder | @Jubbat: He described his opponent as an "incredible calling station" which was playing "50% of his hands". These are terribly bad players who are going to overplay any pair (even middle pair). There are no more decisions to be made after the opponent calls all-in: OP is results oriented because he focus on having lost the hand (despite being 80% favorite). Regarding a draw: KK is 66% favorite against a "likely straight draw" you mention. That is definitely a huge favorite. Having straight draws calling you all-in here would be immensely EV+ too. | |
| Mar 19, 2014 at 15:30 | comment | added | DPM | @Techno_Dream don't beat yourself over how you could have won a particular hand, you can only be right on the long haul's average. Having said that, if you go all-in early on and he folds, you win a small pot, if he doesn't, that's because he could have you beat: big risk, little reward. If you think you are ahead, bet enough to give him inadequate pot odds. If he still calls you'll have positive expectation. If a good player calls, maybe it's time to fold. | |
| Mar 19, 2014 at 14:18 | vote | accept | Techno_Dream | ||
| Mar 19, 2014 at 14:18 | comment | added | Techno_Dream | Good point, I believe I will have to ask another question on when is ok to "test" your odds. I mean, is it ok to put everything in when you are slighthly ahead? | |
| Mar 18, 2014 at 19:20 | comment | added | DPM | "When he calls you all-in, he has 5 outs" That's irrelevant to decide if it was right or not because you didn't know it. J,9,6,3 doesn't look completely harmless. And KK definitely doesn't make you a huge favorite against a likely straight draw. | |
| Mar 18, 2014 at 0:55 | history | answered | TacticalCoder | CC BY-SA 3.0 |