Playing 8 handed 1/2 nlhe at a table with a couple LAG fish, 3 tight passive, myself playing TAG but I get a bit loose from cutoff to button. Lots of limpers every hand. I never limp, I raise or I don’t play.
In the cutoff I get A10s (hearts). Good enough, but barely. I raise to 12 with 2 limpers and the blinds in front of me. Button folds, I get 2 calls (as usual), and a usually weak player in mid position surprises me with a raise to 40. Suspecting that 1-2 of the remaining players will call, I call, and one player calls.
She called big blind and re-raised my raise. Either she was tired of me pushing her around (I'd played four or five hands with her in the last hour and pushed her off without a showdown), maybe she was feeling lucky, or I was way behind. I decided to call knowing her post flop play was kind of weak. Pot is now 132 minus rake, call it 130.
Flop comes AcKs6d, so I’m not going to see a flush, got top pair with a mediocre kicker.
Everyone checks to me and I make it $80, suspecting (hoping) they’ll fold and I’ll take the flop.
First to act folds and mid position re-raises all in to $123. My spider sense is tingling. I can’t put her on a hand, but pocket sixes are the only thing that makes sense to me. I don't think trying to set a trap with AK-AJ is in her playbook, AA-JJ and she would have raised the big blind, pocket 10's - 7's and she would have folded to my post-flop raise. QJ or J10... maybe but seems pretty unlikely. She's talked about things like pot odds and fold equity briefly, so she'd know that if shes playing a draw she is too far behind to be shoving.
That, or maybe a somewhat strong ace, maybe AJ, A9, pocket nines thru sevens. I absolutely cannot put her on a hand, but given there is now over $330 in the pot, and it’s $40 to me, and I can’t put her on a MONSTER hand thanks to her big blind call, check, and previous play, I have no idea what to do. So what would you do?
Spoiler alert, I decided to call, and rivered a straight to her A6o (two pair). I got next to nothing from table talk while deciding, other than she seemed worried. Minimal room to improve and I knew I needed to. Told her I had A10 and could swear I saw her sweating.
I don't feel good about how this hand ended, but I think I may have a glaring weakness - I can't put people on a hand if it's one I would never play. I was holding QQ against a flop of 4 6 10 earlier, raised 4x BB and got a caller from the blinds, raised 3/4 of the pot and was eventually surprised by 2 pair, 4 6 - once again, a hand I would never play from early position (only in very special situations while on the button).
I guess my real question is - how in the world do you put people on hands when they'll play just about anything, from any position? I don't think any amount of chart reading or combinatorics would help in situations like these. Seems to be just a matter of intuition.