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I am making offline analysis of the hands I own after playing sometime online.

I play Omaha only, but this may apply to Texas Holdem too.

I want to generate with code notes of my opponents and insert them on pokertracker database with code.

To simplify it, let's say I want to generate notes for flush projects on flop as:

  • Bets a little flush project Flop.
  • Bets quite flush project Flop.
  • Bets a lot flush project Flop.

I want to know, if my oponnet is raising, how much probably is beting with flush project. That can help me make decissions as playing top double pairs on a flop with two suited cards. If my oponnent never raises with flush project and is raising I can put him on a set and fold my two pair. And viceversa I can pay with my double top pair if a third suited card don't comes.

I know the best here is to use machine learning algorithms, but I don't have so much programing and math knowledges. I want just to aproximate with an index, plot an histogram of the frequency of index of all my oponnents and decide where I put the limits .

The database I generated from hands stores as a boolean (true or false) value:

  • Call to bet.
  • Call to raise.
  • Bets.
  • Raises.

I cannot calculate VPIP or AFQ since my data is for hands with showdown. When my oponnents folded I don't know wich cards they had.

To generate my index this are the values I give presently to each play:

  • Call to bet. (3 points)
  • Call to raise. (5 points)
  • Bets. (5 points)
  • Raises. (10 points)

Do you think the points I give to each play are accurated, or I should change them?

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    check out this link, it may answer your question. upswingpoker.com/glossary/aggression-frequency-afq
    – Clarko
    Feb 1, 2020 at 19:54
  • @Clarko Thanks, that was what I was searching for. Gonna use AFQ to generate the ntoes.
    – user7280
    Feb 2, 2020 at 8:35
  • @Clarko wait that don't works. My stats come from hands with showdown. Folds are not included as when my oponent folds he don't show cards.
    – user7280
    Feb 23, 2020 at 17:43
  • I offer a bounty in the case you or someone wants to help me to generate the index
    – user7280
    Feb 23, 2020 at 17:43
  • could you be more specific about the term "aggression"? the definition of aggression in poker is the amount of raises or bets divided by the total action. Are you looking for a combination of aggression and vpip? what purpose does this aggression calculation serve in your program?
    – Clarko
    Feb 24, 2020 at 1:06

1 Answer 1

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+150

In my knowledge, there is a not a way to do this with an equation because you can not see the hole cards of your opponents unless you go to showdown (which does not apply to your scenario because you want to know if they are folding to a flush draw). It could be more feasible to do this against a single opponent given that they play a specific line when they have a flush draw and bet with recognizable patterns.

I do not play much PLO, but there are definitely board textures and betting patterns that would make me think another player has a flush draw. My suggestion to you would be to go over hands where your opponent bet/folded or bet/called on a specific street (like the flop) and try and see if you can narrow down what they are holding based on the action in the hand. this way, you will be able to understand the patterns associated with a player having a flush draw. You can then look at any players stats and get useful information from that (assuming you have a decent amount of hands with them).

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