Live 2/5 NLH, 8 handed.
Splashy and trappy UTG (900) limps. Hero (4000) in UTG+1 is dealt AhKd and raises to 30. ATC HJ (3300) calls 30, tight passive SB (1600) calls 30, BB folds, UTG calls 30.
Flop (125): Ac Kh 9d
Checks to Hero who bets 50. HJ folds, SB calls, UTG calls.
Turn (275): 8d
Checks to Hero who bets 140. SB calls, UTG calls.
River (695): 8s
SB checks, UTG all in for 680. Hero tank folds. SB calls. UTG shows down 9h8h. SB allegedly mucks AsQs.
I folded here because:
- My particular hand is actually perhaps towards the bottom of my range for hands that get to this spot;
- SB was still behind to act so my play should be either to jam or fold; and
- I could not find very many combinations of bluffs that UTG could be jamming with.
Did I make the right fold, or does folding here actually lose me money in the long term?