I think the only way you're beat here is if villain turned a flush. With such a wet board, I think villain would have pushed QQ+, sets, 2 pair, or a straight earlier in the hand. Since our line doesn't look too strong, when he calls the turn bet, he could be calling with any pair (even a lower pocket pair), and even overs with a gutshot, planning to re-evaluate the turn.
We are way ahead hands I think he could get to the river with:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 83.333% 81.56% 01.77% 115 2.50 { AhTs }
Hand 1: 16.667% 14.89% 01.77% 21 2.50 { JJ, 77-22, AcKc, AQs-A8s, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ah4h, Ac3c, Ac2c, KTs+, QTs-Q9s, J9s+, AQo-A8o, KJo+, JTo }
As for our river action, if we check and he bets, we will beat enough of his paired T, 8 and 9 hands that he could value bet to offset the flushes. If we choose to bet, we need to figure out what his calling range will be, and what his raising range will be? So far, our line is indicative of:
- A set/straight that missed a c/r on the flop
- A flush
- The hand we have, possibly down to a medium 8 or 9.
- A trash hand that is bluffing the flush.
Given that range for us, it will probably be tough for him to call with a hand that we beat. Also, given our fairly wide range, I think it would be pretty bad for villain to bluff raise here - I think that we would have to fold to a raise.
Since villain will be able to value bet more hands than he can call a bet with, I'd check/call any reasonable bet (less than $100).