I ran a simulation of around 5K hands and i found the following:
88 vs A9s (84% to win)
- Four of a Kind, won 128 times (3%)
- Full House, won 999 times
(20%) <---
- Three of a Kind, won 3113 times (62%)
88 vs KJs (82% to win)
- Four of a Kind, won 116 times (2%)
- Full House, won 900 times
(18%) <---
- Three of a Kind, won 3125 times (63%)
I think the "issue" lies to the fact that a K
on the board and a K
on villain's hole cards reduces the ability for the 88
to hit as many full houses against KJ
than against A9
(only 2 kings left).
EDIT
Once again, i upped the sample size to confirm if there are any gaps due to small size above:
88 vs KJs (81% to win, 500k hands)
- Four of a Kind, won 11334 times (2%)
- Full House, won 90622 times (18%)
- Three of a Kind, won 306948 times (61%)
88 vs A9s (84% to win, 500k hands)
- Four of a Kind, won 11302 times (2%)
- Full House, won 101518 times (20%)
- Three of a Kind, won 307754 times (62%)
88 vs KJs (81% to win, 5m hands)
- Four of a Kind, won 112983 times (2%)
- Full House, won 909900 times (18%)
- Three of a Kind, won 3069012 times (61%)
88 vs A9s (84% to win, 5m hands)
- Four of a Kind, won 113070 times (2%)
- Full House, won 1024030 times (20%)
- Three of a Kind, won 3068647 times (61%)
I may be wrong or my code may be wrong, though the statistics are not lying; the 88 vs A9s
hits around +2 % more full houses than 88 vs KJs
. Additionally, if the KJ
hits trips, we will hit full houses then.
84/16
equity? I understand the82/18
though. Can you make it clear in the question?