Say you are facing an all in with AKs and put your opponent on AA, KK, or QQ
What odds do you need to call?
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Sign up to join this communitySay you are facing an all in with AKs and put your opponent on AA, KK, or QQ
What odds do you need to call?
propoker tools says:
Hold'em Simulation 82,190,592 trials (Exhaustive)
Hand Equity Wins Ties
AxKx 34.59% 28,123,620 605,616
QQ+ 65.41% 53,461,356 605,616
looks like about 2:1
On related question I ran the numbers and thought it might be of value
Since you have blocker on AA KK you will see them less
1/4 AA
1/4 KK
1/2 QQ
Odds against those hands
AA 1/8.5
KK 1/3
QQ 1/2
In net (1/4/8.5 + 1/4/3 + 1/2/2) = 0.36
1 is pot and b is the bet you need to call
EV
0 = -b + (1/4*1/8.5 + 1/4*1/3 + 1/2*1/2)*(1+2b)
b/(1+2b) = (1/4*1/8.5 + 1/4*1/3 + 1/2*1/2)
(1+2b) / b = 1 / (1/4*1/8.5 + 1/4*1/3 + 1/2*1/2)
1 / b = 1 / (1/4*1/8.5 + 1/4*1/3 + 1/2*1/2) - 2
b = 1.32 of the pot
Or you need to be getting about 1.757:1
2b + p = ob
where b is bet (your stack) p
is pot and o
is odds of losing. o
= (8.5 * 1/4) + (3 * 1/4) + (2 * 1/2) = 3.875. Plugging that into the equation we get p
= 1.875 or 15/8 which is close to what you got. Am I missing something in this calculation?
– JimmyJames
Nov 11 '16 at 15:52
Well taking away the math, if you have a tell on that player you should fold as you are an underdog against all three hands.
Mathematically speaking, if you are heads up then in tournament for instance it makes sense to take a coin flip vs QQ (56%-44). For an all-in, AK is a big underdog to KK (30%-70%) and it is even worse vs AA (15%-85%).
If you are a novice I would advice you to never fold AK in tournaments in all-in situations. In most situations you will face coin flips but sometimes you will be a big favourite vs AQ-A2. Only AA and KK are scary cards but you have blockers vs both.