Chance of hitting 3 of a kind

Question

Playing with play money online, blinds are 500/1000. Both villain and I have deep stacks, around 230,000 for me and roughly 180,000 for him.

I have AA, he raises, I 3-bet and he 4-bets all-in. At this point I figure he has a pocket pair but since I have aces, I call him.

The flop comes, he hits a King and makes it 3 of a kind with his KK. Needless to say I lost.

Was calling the right thing to do? What are the chances of hitting a 3 of a kind before the flop?

Calling was definitely right. The chances of hitting 3OAK before the flop is 0%. ;) — 3N1GM4, Jan 23 '17 at 7:04
just a cooler - he never folding KK and you never folding AA — Kanan Farzali, Jan 23 '17 at 16:32
Sure. What's the chance of hitting 3 OAK on the flop, turn or river? — ventsyv, Jan 23 '17 at 16:39
What were the bet/raise sizes? Although it's (usually) completely fine to call any bet/raise with AA, I do find it strange that your opponent is already all-in at the 4-bet when both players are around 200 BB deep. If either of you had gone slower, you may have had the chance to get out after the flop. — RoToRa, Jan 24 '17 at 9:41
When you have the best hand, you never want to fold. If you find yourself in a situation where you're tempted to fold AA preflop, that means you're playing at too high-stakes a table. — dslack, Aug 14 '19 at 3:42

Herb · Accepted Answer · 2017-01-23 05:44:11Z

2

Absolutely calling is the correct play for you. You are heads up with the best starting hand.

The odds of hitting a set on the flop is about 11%.

AA wins about 80% of the time vs KK.

answered Jan 23 '17 at 5:44

Herb

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paparazzo · Accepted Answer · 2017-01-23 12:39:36Z

1

Just adding to the answer from Herb. Give him the the check.

AA is the best possible hand - always call pre flop

From combinations make trips on the flop

combin(2,1) * combin(48,2) / combine(50,3) = 11.5% = 7.7:1

If you add in quads 11.8% = 7.5:1

answered Jan 23 '17 at 12:39

paparazzo

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