Questions tagged [odds]

Odds refer to a ratio. This can take many forms - 2 examples are pot odds, which is the ratio of the amount in the pot vs. the amount to call, and implied odds, which is the ratio of the amount you think you can win based on future betting vs. the amount to call.

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58 views

Poker tips backed by facts

I am looking for a list of quick poker facts similar to what WSOP (App) shows when a game is loading. For e.g. A player with a two pair at flops has a 16.7% chance of getting a full house. I am ...
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Calculating my bet size if I know my bluff % to make villain indifferent

I'm trying to work out the formula to figure out what percentage of the pot I need to bet if I want to make the villain indifferent to calling. A similar question has a response by paparazzo where he ...
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29 views

Confusion regarding calculating odds in flops

I was going through an article where it's written: "For example, if you hold two hearts, and there are two on the flop, you have nine outs to hit your draw, giving approximation of 18 percent to hit ...
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Odds for strait or flush on the flop

What are the odds of hitting a strait or a flush on the flop with 2 suited cards that are max 3 cards apart, meaning: a2s, a3s, a4s, a5s, 23s, 23s, 24s, 25s, 34s .... aks
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How does one get comfortable with the honesty of online casinos? [duplicate]

I occasionally play microstake NLHE on PokerStars, and there I've recently witnessed (what feels like) a suspicious number of "unlikely" deals. The most recent was in a 6-ring game, in which 1 seat ...
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168 views

Odds of getting aces in PLO?

What are the odds of picking up aces in pot limit omaha? Or in other words, if I take four cards out of a deck, what are the odds of at least two of them being an ace?
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Additional Odds for Flush Draw, by hitting two paris or three of a kind, as well - How to calculate Runner-Runner?

Following an example from MIT Poker Course (slides can be found here, example starts at p9), where the odds are calculated from a drawing flush hand. In the example, the situation is the following: ...
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How many people need to call to make a bet on a flush draw worthwhile? [duplicate]

In Texas Hold'Em, after the flop, let's say you are holding two spades, and the flop comes out with two spades. Now you have a flush draw. How many people need to call your bet in order for there to ...
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744 views

Odds Of Someone Having A Flush

I recently played at a rather loose table where it seemed to be acceptable practice to chase a flush no matter what amount of bets were made. Let's say you are at a 9 player table. There are 2 suited ...
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233 views

What are the odds of drawing the idiot end of the straight flush on the flop

I once flopped a straight flush. Only it was the idiot end of the straight flush, and I lost all chips (of course). The other player had also flopped a straight flush - the higher end straight flush....
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168 views

Speculative hand with a lot of draws

Say you are playing 7♥ 8♥ in position and call a min raise pre. Flop comes up Q♥ 7⋄ 6♣ On the flop villain bets 1/2 the pot. How do you play it out? Both ...
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597 views

Odds of runner runner

Say you are playing 5♥ 6♥ Flop comes up A♥ T⋄ 4♣ You have runner runner straight and flush draws. What is your chance of trips or better by the river? This ...
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Swings in online poker [closed]

It seems which ever site I play the swing from me being ahead, to the other player winning the pot seems to happen a disproportionate amount of the time. One, two and three card outers seem to happen ...
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124 views

How to Calculate the Possibility of a Straight

I am trying to work out how to calculate the possibility of a straight occurring during the flop. I have some basic understanding from websites and online videos, but I’m unable to work out some of ...
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239 views

poker hand probability

I am wondering how many hands played on avg would it take for a bad beat jackpot of losing with quad 8s or better happen(must use both hole cards). I do not know how to do the math. Thank you so much ...
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It`s split pot if [duplicate]

If is A 2 3 4 5 heart down. X have 6 7 heart and Y have 8 9 heart . It's split pot becouse is A down or Y win?
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Calculating poker odds without knowing opponents cards

This question is about calculating odds without knowing the opponents cards. Calculating odds are an essential part of playing poker, and many online poker sites offer calculation services, such as ...
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495 views

Worst possible matchup for aces pre-flop in pot limit omaha

I ran the numbers on hand 1: A♥A♣3♠2⋄ versus hand2: 6♣7♣8♥9♥. Turns out aces have 46.82% equity. Significantly less than 50! I chose this matchup,...
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108 views

odds and pot odds and when to bet what

I am wondering in what cases it is more profitable to play with your odds (for example bet 15% of pot when you have 18% winning odds) and when its better to give your opponent bad odds to call? Take ...
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223 views

Quads sevens 5 times in one night

I got quad sevens five times in 3 hours . The first three times were within the same round of ten hands. Without a technical explanation what are the odds of three times in ten hands and five times ...
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1answer
105 views

Drawing and pot odds

There is one thing I still dont really understand about odds. So imagine I have a flush draw on the flop and the villain holds top pair. The pot is 100 after villain bets 40 so we got 2.5:1 odds to ...
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442 views

Is there a calculator that shows what my “potential” odds are?

I always make the newbie mistake of waiting for the flush or straight. I was wondering if there is a website or an app that, after I put in the two cards in my hand, and then the cards in the flop, it ...
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178 views

Chances of an opponent not having a flush on 3-flush board

If there are 5 cards on the board and 3 of them are hearts and I don't have any hearts in my hand, what is the probability of someone else NOT having 2 hearts in their hand?
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116 views

Probability of (atleast) one opponent achieving a combination

calculating my own odds is pretty easy. But for me it's very challenging to calculate the opponent's odd yet. Got a very nice book which focuses at exactly this problem. The problem: It just shows the ...
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can someone tell me what the chances are of this hand that me and my poker boys played tonight?? quads and a full house

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=23xhlYJEvpo&feature=youtu.be P1 was dealt AA vs P2 was dealt QQ Flop A 4 Q River Q Turn 6 does anyone actually know the odds of the quads aswell as a full house ...
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964 views

Probability / odds to flop flush or 4 flush

What are the odds of flopping a flush or 4 flush? Obviously you need to have suited hole cards.
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3answers
277 views

Confused about pot odds

I wanted to practice my implied and pot odds calculating skills and found this website online http://www.philnolimits.com/uploads/8/1/8/9/8189328/practice_pot_odds_and_expected_value_problems.pdf And ...
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Texas Hold'em heads up pre-flop AK vs 89s

According to online calculators: A♥K♦ (57.91%) vs 7♣8♣ (41.71%) A♥K♦ (59.42%) vs 8♣9♣ (40.19%) A♥K♦ (58.59%) vs 9♣T♣ (41.00%) Why is 8♣9♣ worse odds than the other 2? I assume it has something to ...
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In 5-card stud does 2 kings beat 2 jacks and 2 threes? [duplicate]

King of Diamonds, King of hearts, 3 of diamonds, 5 of diamonds and a Queen of hearts in one hand. The other player has Jack of spades,Jack of diamonds, 3 of clubs, 3 of hearts and a 6 of hearts. Which ...
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130 views

math for hands against you

Most of the reading material on poker odds have to do with the possibility of you getting a certain target hand based on what you are holding. For instance, what are the chances of you getting a ...
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Odds of losing multiple set over set hands vs hitting a royal

I just finished a terrible session. Can't really feel bad about it as it was really cold decks. But I feel like I have better odds of hitting a royal than I do of catching this much run bad ever again....
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Odds on flopping a Royal Flush?

Playing tourney Omaha hi/lo split last night, I hit a Royal Flush on the flop, we were 9 handed at the time and I'm wondering if anyone out there knows the odds on that happening
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257 views

Worst possible matchup pre flop

Statistically what is the worst possible hole card matchup pre flop?
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157 views

How do I calculate the odds my best hand is better than any possible hand an opponent can make?

After figuring out the best possible hand I can make from the 2 known cards in my hand and the 5 known cards on the board, how would I calculate the odds that my best hand is better than any hand my ...
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168 views

Seven card stud odds shortcuts

Are there shortcuts similar to the rule of 2 and 4 in Texas Hold'em, for calculating odds in the seven card stud poker variations?
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628 views

Running it twice, odds calculation

I'm looking at a setting in a No limit Texas Hold'em hand. We start the hand with 6 people, only two will go to the flop. Ok, I'll admit this is a very unlikely situation: Player 1 starts the hand ...
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776 views

Chance of hitting 3 of a kind

Playing with play money online, blinds are 500/1000. Both villain and I have deep stacks, around 230,000 for me and roughly 180,000 for him. I have AA, he raises, I 3-bet and he 4-bets all-in. At ...
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2answers
156 views

Calculating Pot Odds on multiple re-raises

NLHE: Suppose you are on a small suited connector (6s5s) on BB and want to see the flop for cheap. How do you deal with 2 villains who keep re-raising each other one BB at a time, giving you good odds ...
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Why is AK vs 22 a coinflip?

Why is 22 vs AK a flip? What's the calculation behind this theory because AK has more outs than 22, as AK has 6 outs and 22 has 2 outs, is that right?
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What's wrong with my equity calculation?

When answering this question, I went ahead and tried to do a manual equity calculation for the scenario described (7♥4♠ vs A♠8♣ on a board of 6♥2♥8♥), ...
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1answer
61 views

Poker Outs Odds Tourney Heads Up

I was watching poker on tv and one guy had 7♥4♠, the other had A♠8♣ and the flop was 6♥2♥8♥. The commentator said it was a flip between the two - wouldn'...
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119 views

Wins versus ties

This is for ranking the 169 starting hands. Based on a simulation I have win, loss, ties for each hand. Not sure how to credit the ties. Lets say one hand is 40 (win), 40 (loss), 10 (tie) And ...
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317 views

Call with AK odds

Say you are facing an all in with AKs and put your opponent on AA, KK, or QQ What odds do you need to call?
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783 views

Odds of getting four-of-a-kind three hands in a row

What are the odds of this happening? Texas Hold 'em. 7 Players. Someone got 4 of a kind (8's) on a hand. Pocket 8's and 2 on the board. On the next hand, someone else got 4 of a kind, and it was ...
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598 views

Bluff the river - how often do I need a fold

Playing out of position on the river and missed your hand. Have played in a manner that you can represent a good hand. You are considering bluffing. How often do you need to get fold to make the ...
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700 views

Pots odds versus bluff rate to call on the river

You get to the river and you have nothing but a bluff catcher. Bottom pair on a scary board. If they made their hand they have they have you beat. But you can beat on outright bluff. But you are ...
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Probability of 3card flush and 2 card flush from 5 cards

Got a question I can't quite wrap my head around. I would like to know the probability of getting a 3 card flush out of 5 cards and having the other 2 cards be a flush of a different suit. I think ...
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2answers
232 views

Most possible outs on river. And you are behind

Title says it all. What is the most possible outs on the river? And you are behind. With example cards please - not just a number.
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1answer
196 views

What are the odds of at least one player getting a hand from a range?

I've been trying to work this out for a while but I'm really struggling. I know the odds for a single player getting a hand from a range is simply: Combinations of hands in range / Total possible ...
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848 views

Odds of flush on flush

What is the chance of flush on flush with a single opponent? And hitting the flush? Both player have suited hole cards (same suite).