Questions tagged [odds]

Odds refer to a ratio. This can take many forms - 2 examples are pot odds, which is the ratio of the amount in the pot vs. the amount to call, and implied odds, which is the ratio of the amount you think you can win based on future betting vs. the amount to call.

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Two players heads up in poker: what are roughly the odds of winning based on stack sizes?

While one might say, just take the ratios of the stacks so that if one player has twice the chips he should, especially when blinds are very large eliminating much of the skill factor, win the match ...
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What are the odds of having a Straight Flush on the turn vs a Royal Flush on the turn (No-Limit Texas Hold'em)?

I have J♤9◇ Villain has A◇8◇ Flop: T◇K◇Q◇ Turn: J◇ Straight Flush vs Royal Flush on Turn. Very interesting problem for some mathematical genius. Anyone know the answer?
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Two pair in hand vs two pair with table cards and one in hand [duplicate]

So streight to the point on table was (j,j,10,3,a) one had (10,3) second guy (a,6) so who would win?
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What are the odds (or how would I calculate the odds) of being dealt no ace in 10 hands, 20 hands and 30 hands?

As it says in the title...I just had 30 hands with no aces. What are the odds? (standard NLHE I should add, not 5 card stud etc)
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Odds on the river

What are the odds of somebody getting 4 of a kind on the river to beat your already achieved full house. Also if it can be calculated, what would the odds be for losing a winning hand on the river
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Pot Odds in "The Mathematics of Poker" Example 4.3

I have a couple questions about an example from Bill Chen and Jerrod Ankenman's book The Mathematics of Poker. Below is a screenshot of the example (Example 4.3). My questions are: If the game is $...
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Win odds displayed in the Big Game S2 E17

Look at this spot of the Big Game, season 2, episode 17. Elky holds K♠️ J♠️ and Minieri holds A♦️K♣️. On the flop of 6♣️ 3♠️ 2♠️ the winning percentage of 55% for Elky and 45% for Minieri is shown. I ...
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How deuces play in this?

I'm new to poker, I saw this tweet and people reporting 16 outs and including three deuces and I cannot understand how deuces play in this? Question on the tweet is how many outs does AA hero have? 9 ...
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What are the odds someone has a three of a kind at the same time as me?

I looked at the poker probability wiki and had a question, if I have a 4.83% chance of getting a three of a kind, how could i calculate the odds someone else would get one too, of any rank. If anyone ...
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How to calculate pre-flop odds with hands revealed?

I’m trying to create a backend for a Poker odds calculator. I know how to go about calculating odds post-flop, but I’m having a hard time calculating the odds pre-flop. How do I go about calculating ...
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Why are the odds 16 to 6 that any given player does not hold a pocket pair?

In the book Ken Warren teaches Texas Holdem, its explained that there are 1,326 possible combinations of hole cards. Then its explained that if you disregard suits, there are 169 possible two-hole ...
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Calculating Odds for 3 of a kind

I am confused by this odds calculation here: https://www.pokernews.com/poker-tools/poker-odds-calculator.htm Basically the scenario that I have is below: I understand everything except for the 3 of a ...
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Calculating odds of making a hand at any point in the game

I'm creating a live odds tracker and need to know the odds of making every possible hand at any point in the game, the information I have is: Number of Outs Number of cards left in the deck Cards ...
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How to calculate Poker hand percentages?

https://www.888poker.com/poker/poker-odds-calculator Like on the link above, all I get when I google this is how to calculate pot odds. I am not looking for that. If you go to the link above and add ...
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How do I use combination math to calculate at least two spades in the first 3 cards in a stud game

I'm generally good with math, but probability calculation just seems to fight me. I'm trying to develop a formula to determine the odds of hitting at least 2 spades, given that the player is dealt ...
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Pre-flop decision making factors

I am looking for easy to spot key factors for a pre-flop decision making - right before one either folds, calls or raises. The settings is 9 players table, No-Limit Hold'em Cash Game. The factors I ...
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What's the probability of each poker combination winning the showdown?

I play a poker-like game on a casino site, which offers dynamically changing coefficients for each hand on the table. Each round (blind, preflop, flop, turn) gamblers can bet that one of each hands ...
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Tying the pot and EV of a poker hand

Just recently heard of the concept of Expected Value of a hand. This guy explained it well: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiPmaif9szQ But there is still one case he hasn't looked at. It is a split ...
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Could it happen, from a theoretical point of view, that all players at a table tie?

I know of hands where the pot gets split among 2 or 3 players, but could it ever occur that the same happens for 4, 5, 6 players and so on up to 9, at least from a theoretical point of view? If so, ...
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How can I calculate my total odds given different possible events?

Let's suppose I have 25% probability of drawing the winning hand, equal to odds of 3:1. Let's also assume that I’ve tracked my opponents and calculate that there is a 50% chance they will fold to a ...
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What's the chance my opponent has a better flush?

Given my following hand JhQd, playing against one single opponent On the river we have the following 5-cards combination, 6h9hQh9s2h. Then, there are 8 unseen hearts of which 2 of them can beat my ...
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Odds for AAAKK Full House in Flop with 8 Players

Today we have a casual game with 8 people (including me), and in table was Full House with AAAKK. What are the odds for this flop? also, have you seen this in recorded games?
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Poker tips backed by facts

I am looking for a list of quick poker facts similar to what WSOP (App) shows when a game is loading. For e.g. A player with a two pair at flops has a 16.7% chance of getting a full house. I am ...
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Calculating my bet size if I know my bluff % to make villain indifferent

I'm trying to work out the formula to figure out what percentage of the pot I need to bet if I want to make the villain indifferent to calling. A similar question has a response by paparazzo where he ...
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Confusion regarding calculating odds in flops

I was going through an article where it's written: "For example, if you hold two hearts, and there are two on the flop, you have nine outs to hit your draw, giving approximation of 18 percent to hit ...
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1 vote
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Odds for straight or flush on the flop

What are the odds of hitting a straight or a flush on the flop with 2 suited cards that are max 3 cards apart, meaning: A2s, A3s, A4s, A5s, 23s, 23s, 24s, 25s, 34s .... AKs
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1 vote
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How does one get comfortable with the honesty of online casinos? [duplicate]

I occasionally play microstake NLHE on PokerStars, and there I've recently witnessed (what feels like) a suspicious number of "unlikely" deals. The most recent was in a 6-ring game, in which 1 seat ...
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2 votes
1 answer
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Odds of getting aces in PLO?

What are the odds of picking up aces in pot limit omaha? Or in other words, if I take four cards out of a deck, what are the odds of at least two of them being an ace?
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Additional Odds for Flush Draw, by hitting two paris or three of a kind, as well - How to calculate Runner-Runner?

Following an example from MIT Poker Course (slides can be found here, example starts at p9), where the odds are calculated from a drawing flush hand. In the example, the situation is the following: ...
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How many people need to call to make a bet on a flush draw worthwhile? [duplicate]

In Texas Hold'Em, after the flop, let's say you are holding two spades, and the flop comes out with two spades. Now you have a flush draw. How many people need to call your bet in order for there to ...
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Odds Of Someone Having A Flush

I recently played at a rather loose table where it seemed to be acceptable practice to chase a flush no matter what amount of bets were made. Let's say you are at a 9 player table. There are 2 suited ...
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What are the odds of drawing the idiot end of the straight flush on the flop

I once flopped a straight flush. Only it was the idiot end of the straight flush, and I lost all chips (of course). The other player had also flopped a straight flush - the higher end straight flush....
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Speculative hand with a lot of draws

Say you are playing 7♥ 8♥ in position and call a min raise pre. Flop comes up Q♥ 7⋄ 6♣ On the flop villain bets 1/2 the pot. How do you play it out? Both ...
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Odds of runner runner

Say you are playing 5♥ 6♥ Flop comes up A♥ T⋄ 4♣ You have runner runner straight and flush draws. What is your chance of trips or better by the river? This ...
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Swings in online poker [closed]

It seems which ever site I play the swing from me being ahead, to the other player winning the pot seems to happen a disproportionate amount of the time. One, two and three card outers seem to happen ...
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How to Calculate the Possibility of a Straight

I am trying to work out how to calculate the possibility of a straight occurring during the flop. I have some basic understanding from websites and online videos, but I’m unable to work out some of ...
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2 votes
2 answers
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poker hand probability

I am wondering how many hands played on avg would it take for a bad beat jackpot of losing with quad 8s or better happen(must use both hole cards). I do not know how to do the math. Thank you so much ...
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It`s split pot if [duplicate]

If is A 2 3 4 5 heart down. X have 6 7 heart and Y have 8 9 heart . It's split pot becouse is A down or Y win?
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2 answers
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Calculating poker odds without knowing opponents cards

This question is about calculating odds without knowing the opponents cards. Calculating odds are an essential part of playing poker, and many online poker sites offer calculation services, such as ...
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2 votes
1 answer
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Worst possible matchup for aces pre-flop in pot limit omaha

I ran the numbers on hand 1: A♥A♣3♠2⋄ versus hand2: 6♣7♣8♥9♥. Turns out aces have 46.82% equity. Significantly less than 50! I chose this matchup,...
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odds and pot odds and when to bet what

I am wondering in what cases it is more profitable to play with your odds (for example bet 15% of pot when you have 18% winning odds) and when its better to give your opponent bad odds to call? Take ...
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2 votes
2 answers
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Quads sevens 5 times in one night

I got quad sevens five times in 3 hours . The first three times were within the same round of ten hands. Without a technical explanation what are the odds of three times in ten hands and five times ...
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3 votes
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Drawing and pot odds

There is one thing I still dont really understand about odds. So imagine I have a flush draw on the flop and the villain holds top pair. The pot is 100 after villain bets 40 so we got 2.5:1 odds to ...
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4 votes
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Is there a calculator that shows what my "potential" odds are?

I always make the newbie mistake of waiting for the flush or straight. I was wondering if there is a website or an app that, after I put in the two cards in my hand, and then the cards in the flop, it ...
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1 vote
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Chances of an opponent not having a flush on 3-flush board

If there are 5 cards on the board and 3 of them are hearts and I don't have any hearts in my hand, what is the probability of someone else NOT having 2 hearts in their hand?
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1 vote
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Probability of (atleast) one opponent achieving a combination

calculating my own odds is pretty easy. But for me it's very challenging to calculate the opponent's odd yet. Got a very nice book which focuses at exactly this problem. The problem: It just shows the ...
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can someone tell me what the chances are of this hand that me and my poker boys played tonight?? quads and a full house

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=23xhlYJEvpo&feature=youtu.be P1 was dealt AA vs P2 was dealt QQ Flop A 4 Q River Q Turn 6 does anyone actually know the odds of the quads aswell as a full house ...
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Probability / odds to flop flush or 4 flush

What are the odds of flopping a flush or 4 flush? Obviously you need to have suited hole cards.
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Confused about pot odds

I wanted to practice my implied and pot odds calculating skills and found this website online http://www.philnolimits.com/uploads/8/1/8/9/8189328/practice_pot_odds_and_expected_value_problems.pdf And ...
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4 votes
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Texas Hold'em heads up pre-flop AK vs 89s

According to online calculators: A♥K♦ (57.91%) vs 7♣8♣ (41.71%) A♥K♦ (59.42%) vs 8♣9♣ (40.19%) A♥K♦ (58.59%) vs 9♣T♣ (41.00%) Why is 8♣9♣ worse odds than the other 2? I assume it has something to ...
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