Questions tagged [odds]
Odds refer to a ratio. This can take many forms - 2 examples are pot odds, which is the ratio of the amount in the pot vs. the amount to call, and implied odds, which is the ratio of the amount you think you can win based on future betting vs. the amount to call.
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What are the odds of the case A hitting the flop when 3 of 4 players at a 9 person table are holding an A?
For example let's say its A4 vs AT vs A8 vs KJ. What are the odds of that 4th A hitting the flop?
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How often are the 5 community cards the best hand?
Can we calculate the probability that the 5 community cards are the best hand, i.e., that all remaining players chop the pot? I imagine that this probability drops as the number of players increases.
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Card Club game is rigged
What are the odds of losing 16 straight Texas hold ‘em poker hands when bets and folds are nonexistent and hands are completed without prejudice.
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Full House v. Quads
What are the odds of getting quadded when you have the highest full house on the table? I would reckon it's very rare, but I have done it once to an opponent.
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The Mathematics of Poker Example 4.3 Terminology: Does chance of winning means probability or odd?
I am reading a book called The Mathematics of Poker (Chen, Bill, and Jerrod Ankenman. The Mathematics of Poker. 1st ed. Pittsburgh, Pa: ConJelCo LLC, 2006.
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I am a bit confused about Pot ODD and ...
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How to calculate pre-flop odds with hands revealed?
I’m trying to create a backend for a Poker odds calculator.
I know how to go about calculating odds post-flop, but I’m having a hard time calculating the odds pre-flop.
How do I go about calculating ...
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Calculating odds for a 2 run scenario with Combos
So I'm trying to calculate odds of hitting a set or better by the river when holding a pocket pair for the game of flip n go on GG Poker. This is an 8 seat all in game, everyone receives 3 cards ...
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How to calculate win percentages during a showdown?
I've been trying to figure out how to calculate win percentages during a 2-3 hand showdown.
Up until now i know how to get to the percentages on the right side of the image (was taken from an online ...
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Are poker odd charts agnostic of number of players?
https://www.pokerology.com/lessons/drawing-odds/
I've seen a lot of poker odds charts like this that specify a hard-coded value for odds based on outs. Is the chart agnostic of the number of players? ...
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What are the odds to hit a straight with king queen pocket [duplicate]
The river is 9, jack, Ace. What are the odds that I would've hit the 10 I needed?
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How often should I be seeing four of a kind statistically?
Some context about why I'm asking:
I seem to be seeing another player, or myself, having 4 of a kind once every 100 - 150 hands.
This has happened in the region of 20+ times over the course of 2 ...
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Prop bet odds Calculation
This is for all the math nerds out there.
I was offered an "EVEN MONEY" prop bet on a live cash game session I played a few days ago.
The bet was as follows:
"Villain selects 3 ranks of ...
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Calculating odds for Pineapple Variation
Lets say I select 3 card ranks (eg. K, Q, 7)
I want to calculate the odds of flopping at least one pair.
According to my calculation, I have 12 cards which if appear on the flop, I have a pair or ...
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Greatest odds of winning with the worst hand
In a game of heads up Texas Hold'em, what hand has the highest odds of winning, while still holding the worst hand on the flop? For example, if I have KsJs, my opponent has 3d2h, and the flop comes ...
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A pair versus "suited" overcards
Apparently when a pair goes against over cards it's known as a race because the odds are roughly even. What if the over-cards are suited? On average, how does that affect the odds?
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Two players heads up in poker: what are roughly the odds of winning based on stack sizes?
While one might say, just take the ratios of the stacks so that if one player has twice the chips he should, especially when blinds are very large eliminating much of the skill factor, win the match ...
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Two pair in hand vs two pair with table cards and one in hand [duplicate]
So streight to the point on table was (j,j,10,3,a) one had (10,3) second guy (a,6) so who would win?
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What are the odds (or how would I calculate the odds) of being dealt no ace in 10 hands, 20 hands and 30 hands?
As it says in the title...I just had 30 hands with no aces. What are the odds?
(standard NLHE I should add, not 5 card stud etc)
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Odds on the river
What are the odds of somebody getting 4 of a kind on the river to beat your already achieved full house.
Also if it can be calculated, what would the odds be for losing a winning hand on the river
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Pot Odds in "The Mathematics of Poker" Example 4.3
I have a couple questions about an example from Bill Chen and Jerrod Ankenman's book The Mathematics of Poker. Below is a screenshot of the example (Example 4.3).
My questions are:
If the game is $...
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Win odds displayed in the Big Game S2 E17
Look at this spot of the Big Game, season 2, episode 17.
Elky holds K♠️ J♠️ and Minieri holds A♦️K♣️. On the flop of 6♣️ 3♠️ 2♠️ the winning percentage of 55% for Elky and 45% for Minieri is shown. I ...
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How deuces play in this?
I'm new to poker, I saw this tweet and people reporting 16 outs and including three deuces and I cannot understand how deuces play in this? Question on the tweet is how many outs does AA hero have?
9 ...
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Odds of runner runner
Say you are playing 5♥ 6♥
Flop comes up A♥ T⋄ 4♣
You have runner runner straight and flush draws. What is your chance of trips or better by the river?
This ...
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What are the odds someone has a three of a kind at the same time as me?
I looked at the poker probability wiki and had a question, if I have a 4.83% chance of getting a three of a kind, how could i calculate the odds someone else would get one too, of any rank.
If anyone ...
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Odds of getting four-of-a-kind three hands in a row
What are the odds of this happening?
Texas Hold 'em. 7 Players.
Someone got 4 of a kind (8's) on a hand. Pocket 8's and 2 on the board.
On the next hand, someone else got 4 of a kind, and it was ...
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Counting outs? Any websites provide this?
I often look at a hand plus community cards and fail to see the number of outs mentioned.
A number of sites, such as https://www.cardplayer.com/poker-tools/odds-calculator/texas-holdem offer odds, but ...
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How do I use combination math to calculate at least two spades in the first 3 cards in a stud game
I'm generally good with math, but probability calculation just seems to fight me.
I'm trying to develop a formula to determine the odds of hitting at least 2 spades, given that the player is dealt ...
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Calculating Odds for 3 of a kind
I am confused by this odds calculation here:
https://www.pokernews.com/poker-tools/poker-odds-calculator.htm
Basically the scenario that I have is below:
I understand everything except for the 3 of a ...
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Why are the odds 16 to 6 that any given player does not hold a pocket pair?
In the book Ken Warren teaches Texas Holdem, its explained that there are 1,326 possible combinations of hole cards. Then its explained that if you disregard suits, there are 169 possible two-hole ...
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Odds for straight or flush on the flop
What are the odds of hitting a straight or a flush on the flop with 2 suited cards that are max 3 cards apart, meaning:
A2s, A3s, A4s, A5s, 23s, 23s, 24s, 25s, 34s .... AKs
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Calculating odds of making a hand at any point in the game
I'm creating a live odds tracker and need to know the odds of making every possible hand at any point in the game, the information I have is:
Number of Outs
Number of cards left in the deck
Cards ...
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How to calculate Poker hand percentages?
https://www.888poker.com/poker/poker-odds-calculator
Like on the link above, all I get when I google this is how to calculate pot odds. I am not looking for that.
If you go to the link above and add ...
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Pre-flop decision making factors
I am looking for easy to spot key factors for a pre-flop decision making - right before one either folds, calls or raises. The settings is 9 players table, No-Limit Hold'em Cash Game.
The factors I ...
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What's the probability of each poker combination winning the showdown?
I play a poker-like game on a casino site, which offers dynamically changing coefficients for each hand on the table.
Each round (blind, preflop, flop, turn) gamblers can bet that one of each hands ...
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Tying the pot and EV of a poker hand
Just recently heard of the concept of Expected Value of a hand.
This guy explained it well:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiPmaif9szQ
But there is still one case he hasn't looked at. It is a split ...
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Could it happen, from a theoretical point of view, that all players at a table tie?
I know of hands where the pot gets split among 2 or 3 players, but could it ever occur that the same happens for 4, 5, 6 players and so on up to 9, at least from a theoretical point of view? If so, ...
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Calculating odds with 2 cards to come
As far as I understand, odds of hitting a draw are calculated like this:
On flop-to-turn:
(47/outs) - 1 = result-to-1
On turn-to-river:
(46/outs) - 1 = result-to-1
The above are calculations of ...
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Calculating my bet size if I know my bluff % to make villain indifferent
I'm trying to work out the formula to figure out what percentage of the pot I need to bet if I want to make the villain indifferent to calling.
A similar question has a response by paparazzo where he ...
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Confusion regarding calculating odds in flops
I was going through an article where it's written:
"For example, if you hold two hearts, and there are two on the flop, you have nine outs to hit your draw, giving approximation of 18 percent to hit ...
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What mnemonic rules are helpful in poker calculations?
Given that precise EV calculations require one to operate with rather uncomfortable numbers, approximations are used along with simplified models.
For instance, the rule of 4 and 2 allows you to ...
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What's the chance my opponent has a better flush?
Given my following hand JhQd, playing against one single opponent
On the river we have the following 5-cards combination, 6h9hQh9s2h.
Then, there are 8 unseen hearts of which 2 of them can beat my ...
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How can I calculate my total odds given different possible events?
Let's suppose I have 25% probability of drawing the winning hand, equal to odds of 3:1. Let's also assume that I’ve tracked my opponents and calculate that there is a 50% chance they will fold to a ...
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Odds for AAAKK Full House in Flop with 8 Players
Today we have a casual game with 8 people (including me), and in table was Full House with AAAKK.
What are the odds for this flop?
also, have you seen this in recorded games?
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Poker tips backed by facts
I am looking for a list of quick poker facts similar to what WSOP (App) shows when a game is loading.
For e.g.
A player with a two pair at flops has a 16.7% chance of getting a full house.
I am ...
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Quads sevens 5 times in one night
I got quad sevens five times in 3 hours .
The first three times were within the same round of ten hands.
Without a technical explanation what are the odds of three times in ten hands and five times ...
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Why is it easier to make a flush than a straight with four cards already matching?
In draw poker with five cards, if I have four cards with an open-ended straight draw, why is it a lower probability to get the fifth card for the straight than if you have four cards in a flush and ...
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How does one get comfortable with the honesty of online casinos? [duplicate]
I occasionally play microstake NLHE on PokerStars, and there I've recently witnessed (what feels like) a suspicious number of "unlikely" deals.
The most recent was in a 6-ring game, in which 1 seat ...
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What is the odd of hitting flush when you have nothing
What is the odd of filling 4 suited cards by river to make a flush? This would be starting from the "flop" in hold 'em, and starting from the fourth card, all of which are suited, in seven card stud.
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poker hand probability
I am wondering how many hands played on avg would it take for a bad beat jackpot of losing with quad 8s or better happen(must use both hole cards). I do not know how to do the math. Thank you so much ...
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Odds of getting aces in PLO?
What are the odds of picking up aces in pot limit omaha? Or in other words, if I take four cards out of a deck, what are the odds of at least two of them being an ace?
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