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Questions tagged [odds]

Odds refer to a ratio. This can take many forms - 2 examples are pot odds, which is the ratio of the amount in the pot vs. the amount to call, and implied odds, which is the ratio of the amount you think you can win based on future betting vs. the amount to call.

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1 answer
72 views

The Mathematics of Poker Example 4.3 Terminology: Does chance of winning means probability or odd?

I am reading a book called The Mathematics of Poker (Chen, Bill, and Jerrod Ankenman. The Mathematics of Poker. 1st ed. Pittsburgh, Pa: ConJelCo LLC, 2006. ). I am a bit confused about Pot ODD and ...
0 votes
1 answer
578 views

How to calculate pre-flop odds with hands revealed?

I’m trying to create a backend for a Poker odds calculator. I know how to go about calculating odds post-flop, but I’m having a hard time calculating the odds pre-flop. How do I go about calculating ...
0 votes
1 answer
636 views

How to Calculate Pre-flop Odds of Making a Hand By The River?

How do you calculate the pre-flop odds of making a hand after the river card? For example, what are the odds of making a set if you hold a pocket pair after the river card? What are the odds of making ...
7 votes
3 answers
6k views

Do Odds Change if Count of Players at Table Change?

I must admit I am much more of a non-Poker gambler, but this question intrigued me. The more players that are at a table, the more likely it is that a given card will be in someone's hand and not "...
0 votes
1 answer
65 views

Calculating odds for a 2 run scenario with Combos

So I'm trying to calculate odds of hitting a set or better by the river when holding a pocket pair for the game of flip n go on GG Poker. This is an 8 seat all in game, everyone receives 3 cards ...
1 vote
1 answer
335 views

How to calculate win percentages during a showdown?

I've been trying to figure out how to calculate win percentages during a 2-3 hand showdown. Up until now i know how to get to the percentages on the right side of the image (was taken from an online ...
1 vote
0 answers
81 views

Practical odds of some hand hitting flush in hands played to showdown

Given the strong lean of hole cards played to the flop towards suited cards, the actual percentage of hold 'em hands that get to the river that end up hitting a flush is surely higher than the ...
1 vote
1 answer
34 views

What are the odds of the case A hitting the flop when 3 of 4 players at a 9 person table are holding an A?

For example let's say its A4 vs AT vs A8 vs KJ. What are the odds of that 4th A hitting the flop?
0 votes
0 answers
53 views

How often are the 5 community cards the best hand?

Can we calculate the probability that the 5 community cards are the best hand, i.e., that all remaining players chop the pot? I imagine that this probability drops as the number of players increases.
-2 votes
2 answers
141 views

Card Club game is rigged

What are the odds of losing 16 straight Texas hold ‘em poker hands when bets and folds are nonexistent and hands are completed without prejudice.
2 votes
2 answers
3k views

Full House v. Quads

What are the odds of getting quadded when you have the highest full house on the table? I would reckon it's very rare, but I have done it once to an opponent.
1 vote
2 answers
71 views

Are poker odd charts agnostic of number of players?

https://www.pokerology.com/lessons/drawing-odds/ I've seen a lot of poker odds charts like this that specify a hard-coded value for odds based on outs. Is the chart agnostic of the number of players? ...
0 votes
0 answers
21 views

What are the odds to hit a straight with king queen pocket [duplicate]

The river is 9, jack, Ace. What are the odds that I would've hit the 10 I needed?
2 votes
5 answers
11k views

How often should I be seeing four of a kind statistically?

Some context about why I'm asking: I seem to be seeing another player, or myself, having 4 of a kind once every 100 - 150 hands. This has happened in the region of 20+ times over the course of 2 ...
0 votes
1 answer
44 views

Calculating odds for Pineapple Variation

Lets say I select 3 card ranks (eg. K, Q, 7) I want to calculate the odds of flopping at least one pair. According to my calculation, I have 12 cards which if appear on the flop, I have a pair or ...
1 vote
1 answer
124 views

Greatest odds of winning with the worst hand

In a game of heads up Texas Hold'em, what hand has the highest odds of winning, while still holding the worst hand on the flop? For example, if I have KsJs, my opponent has 3d2h, and the flop comes ...
1 vote
1 answer
3k views

A pair versus "suited" overcards

Apparently when a pair goes against over cards it's known as a race because the odds are roughly even. What if the over-cards are suited? On average, how does that affect the odds?
0 votes
0 answers
119 views

Two players heads up in poker: what are roughly the odds of winning based on stack sizes?

While one might say, just take the ratios of the stacks so that if one player has twice the chips he should, especially when blinds are very large eliminating much of the skill factor, win the match ...
0 votes
1 answer
185 views

Two pair in hand vs two pair with table cards and one in hand [duplicate]

So streight to the point on table was (j,j,10,3,a) one had (10,3) second guy (a,6) so who would win?
0 votes
1 answer
165 views

What are the odds (or how would I calculate the odds) of being dealt no ace in 10 hands, 20 hands and 30 hands?

As it says in the title...I just had 30 hands with no aces. What are the odds? (standard NLHE I should add, not 5 card stud etc)
1 vote
2 answers
1k views

Odds on the river

What are the odds of somebody getting 4 of a kind on the river to beat your already achieved full house. Also if it can be calculated, what would the odds be for losing a winning hand on the river
4 votes
1 answer
103 views

Pot Odds in "The Mathematics of Poker" Example 4.3

I have a couple questions about an example from Bill Chen and Jerrod Ankenman's book The Mathematics of Poker. Below is a screenshot of the example (Example 4.3). My questions are: If the game is $...
0 votes
2 answers
45 views

Win odds displayed in the Big Game S2 E17

Look at this spot of the Big Game, season 2, episode 17. Elky holds K♠️ J♠️ and Minieri holds A♦️K♣️. On the flop of 6♣️ 3♠️ 2♠️ the winning percentage of 55% for Elky and 45% for Minieri is shown. I ...
0 votes
2 answers
65 views

How deuces play in this?

I'm new to poker, I saw this tweet and people reporting 16 outs and including three deuces and I cannot understand how deuces play in this? Question on the tweet is how many outs does AA hero have? 9 ...
0 votes
2 answers
2k views

Odds of runner runner

Say you are playing 5♥ 6♥ Flop comes up A♥ T⋄ 4♣ You have runner runner straight and flush draws. What is your chance of trips or better by the river? This ...
0 votes
0 answers
307 views

What are the odds someone has a three of a kind at the same time as me?

I looked at the poker probability wiki and had a question, if I have a 4.83% chance of getting a three of a kind, how could i calculate the odds someone else would get one too, of any rank. If anyone ...
1 vote
0 answers
2k views

Odds of getting four-of-a-kind three hands in a row

What are the odds of this happening? Texas Hold 'em. 7 Players. Someone got 4 of a kind (8's) on a hand. Pocket 8's and 2 on the board. On the next hand, someone else got 4 of a kind, and it was ...
3 votes
3 answers
295 views

Counting outs? Any websites provide this?

I often look at a hand plus community cards and fail to see the number of outs mentioned. A number of sites, such as https://www.cardplayer.com/poker-tools/odds-calculator/texas-holdem offer odds, but ...
1 vote
2 answers
142 views

How do I use combination math to calculate at least two spades in the first 3 cards in a stud game

I'm generally good with math, but probability calculation just seems to fight me. I'm trying to develop a formula to determine the odds of hitting at least 2 spades, given that the player is dealt ...
4 votes
2 answers
178 views

Calculating Odds for 3 of a kind

I am confused by this odds calculation here: https://www.pokernews.com/poker-tools/poker-odds-calculator.htm Basically the scenario that I have is below: I understand everything except for the 3 of a ...
4 votes
1 answer
266 views

Why are the odds 16 to 6 that any given player does not hold a pocket pair?

In the book Ken Warren teaches Texas Holdem, its explained that there are 1,326 possible combinations of hole cards. Then its explained that if you disregard suits, there are 169 possible two-hole ...
1 vote
1 answer
356 views

Odds for straight or flush on the flop

What are the odds of hitting a straight or a flush on the flop with 2 suited cards that are max 3 cards apart, meaning: A2s, A3s, A4s, A5s, 23s, 23s, 24s, 25s, 34s .... AKs
0 votes
0 answers
97 views

Calculating odds of making a hand at any point in the game

I'm creating a live odds tracker and need to know the odds of making every possible hand at any point in the game, the information I have is: Number of Outs Number of cards left in the deck Cards ...
-1 votes
1 answer
465 views

How to calculate Poker hand percentages?

https://www.888poker.com/poker/poker-odds-calculator Like on the link above, all I get when I google this is how to calculate pot odds. I am not looking for that. If you go to the link above and add ...
3 votes
1 answer
138 views

Pre-flop decision making factors

I am looking for easy to spot key factors for a pre-flop decision making - right before one either folds, calls or raises. The settings is 9 players table, No-Limit Hold'em Cash Game. The factors I ...
0 votes
1 answer
296 views

What's the probability of each poker combination winning the showdown?

I play a poker-like game on a casino site, which offers dynamically changing coefficients for each hand on the table. Each round (blind, preflop, flop, turn) gamblers can bet that one of each hands ...
1 vote
1 answer
121 views

Tying the pot and EV of a poker hand

Just recently heard of the concept of Expected Value of a hand. This guy explained it well: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiPmaif9szQ But there is still one case he hasn't looked at. It is a split ...
0 votes
3 answers
239 views

Could it happen, from a theoretical point of view, that all players at a table tie?

I know of hands where the pot gets split among 2 or 3 players, but could it ever occur that the same happens for 4, 5, 6 players and so on up to 9, at least from a theoretical point of view? If so, ...
3 votes
4 answers
16k views

Calculating odds with 2 cards to come

As far as I understand, odds of hitting a draw are calculated like this: On flop-to-turn: (47/outs) - 1 = result-to-1 On turn-to-river: (46/outs) - 1 = result-to-1 The above are calculations of ...
0 votes
1 answer
302 views

Calculating my bet size if I know my bluff % to make villain indifferent

I'm trying to work out the formula to figure out what percentage of the pot I need to bet if I want to make the villain indifferent to calling. A similar question has a response by paparazzo where he ...
1 vote
2 answers
87 views

Confusion regarding calculating odds in flops

I was going through an article where it's written: "For example, if you hold two hearts, and there are two on the flop, you have nine outs to hit your draw, giving approximation of 18 percent to hit ...
8 votes
2 answers
944 views

What mnemonic rules are helpful in poker calculations?

Given that precise EV calculations require one to operate with rather uncomfortable numbers, approximations are used along with simplified models. For instance, the rule of 4 and 2 allows you to ...
1 vote
1 answer
650 views

What's the chance my opponent has a better flush?

Given my following hand JhQd, playing against one single opponent On the river we have the following 5-cards combination, 6h9hQh9s2h. Then, there are 8 unseen hearts of which 2 of them can beat my ...
1 vote
1 answer
136 views

How can I calculate my total odds given different possible events?

Let's suppose I have 25% probability of drawing the winning hand, equal to odds of 3:1. Let's also assume that I’ve tracked my opponents and calculate that there is a 50% chance they will fold to a ...
0 votes
0 answers
81 views

Odds for AAAKK Full House in Flop with 8 Players

Today we have a casual game with 8 people (including me), and in table was Full House with AAAKK. What are the odds for this flop? also, have you seen this in recorded games?
1 vote
2 answers
119 views

Poker tips backed by facts

I am looking for a list of quick poker facts similar to what WSOP (App) shows when a game is loading. For e.g. A player with a two pair at flops has a 16.7% chance of getting a full house. I am ...
2 votes
2 answers
369 views

Quads sevens 5 times in one night

I got quad sevens five times in 3 hours . The first three times were within the same round of ten hands. Without a technical explanation what are the odds of three times in ten hands and five times ...
9 votes
4 answers
20k views

Why is it easier to make a flush than a straight with four cards already matching?

In draw poker with five cards, if I have four cards with an open-ended straight draw, why is it a lower probability to get the fifth card for the straight than if you have four cards in a flush and ...
1 vote
2 answers
99 views

How does one get comfortable with the honesty of online casinos? [duplicate]

I occasionally play microstake NLHE on PokerStars, and there I've recently witnessed (what feels like) a suspicious number of "unlikely" deals. The most recent was in a 6-ring game, in which 1 seat ...
7 votes
5 answers
3k views

What is the odd of hitting flush when you have nothing

What is the odd of filling 4 suited cards by river to make a flush? This would be starting from the "flop" in hold 'em, and starting from the fourth card, all of which are suited, in seven card stud.