Questions tagged [poker-theory]

Poker theory is generally based on mathematical principals to define the theory.

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databases of poker games' history

Just as there are databases of high-level chess games, are there any of poker games by strong players? I believe that courts (in the USA at least) ruled that a simple record of a chess game is not ...
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What does “volatility on hand” mean and how do players use it?

Towards the end of part 1 of "Harrington on Hold'em" in the section titled "A Sample Hand," Harrington writes the following: I thought I was one of the better players remaining at ...
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Bill Chen's Mathematics of poker p41 : estimating paramers/ bayesian statistics

Dear members of poker stack exchange, I have trouble understanding how the P(B|A) column of the second table is computed. First of all, I guess there is a mistake in the header of this table : it's P(...
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How do estimate if the EV loss, between two strategy, is acceptable?

with poker solver, i have set two strategy on flop, optimal and simplify(more easy to use and replicable in game): Pot is 220. Effettive stack is 890. Strategy 1 - optimal : the EV is 120,62. Strategy ...
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Online Software Tournament Test Case

I am working on online poker software and there is 1 issue we faced when testing with tournaments. Let me explain the case There were 6 players in the hand p1 (SB) 2820 chips p2 (BB) 100 chips p3 ...
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Multiple player poker probability both has flush or straight

I am trying to calculate probability if 3 card Indian poker is being played between 8 players drawing 3 cards each what are chances that at least one player has either flush or straight or royal flush ...
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How to calculate probability of flopping a set (with pocket pairs)?

Building a poker program and would like to make sure I have my calculation correct. If a player is holding pocket pair, how does one calculate the probability of flopping a set (one card out of the ...
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48 views

Tournament Ante Deduction Player All In

I am writing an online poker game software in which I want to conduct tournaments. In tournaments sometimes players remain to "sit out" throughout the tournament. There is 1 case that's ...
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482 views

Does the “the theory of poker applied to no limit” cover all the contents in “The Theory of Poker” both by David Sklansky?

I haven't read the "The Theory of Poker" and am planning to start reading. Then I found the newest book "the theory of poker applied to no limit". So I am wondering which one should I start? I play ...
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177 views

Can a push/fold strategy be optimal (ie EV>=0 against any other strategy) in general

There are many push/fold charts that have been calculated which claim to be optimal in a simplified version of (no limit texas holdem) where only push/fold is possible. So wouldn't always either ...
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81 views

Rake Deduction Logic

I am writing an Online Poker Game and I was wondering about how the Rake will be deducted for each hand in a cash game. I know there is rake percentage and rakecap concept and the rake is calculated ...
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Probability that any player will receive any similar hand of the previous hand of any player?

I want ask, how to count this case? I understand that every deal of cards is a separate event, and does not depend on the previous one.
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Two players have two pairs. Who wins? [duplicate]

On the board is ( 10,10,Ace,8,6) Player one has (Ace, Jack) Player two has (Ace,3) Both players have a two pair who wins?
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Have you noticed any poker bots in your games?

I know that poker bots topic been around for as far as I can remember, but it seems that now it becomes more relevant to general players and can actually be a threat in the future, especially for cash ...
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Clairvoyant Game : Modern Poker Theory Page 74 Mistake?

I have been following the Clairoyant Toy Game for Two players up against eachother and the play is on the River. The Solutions in the book are for eliminating dominant strategies, pure stragies , and ...
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Variant on Poker with 3 card deck

Imagine a 3 card deck consisting of J, Q, K. The two players are each dealt one card at random. Small blind is $1 and big blind is $2. What is the optimal strategy for small blind position and big ...
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Poker starting pairs ranked by probability?

Where can I find the 1326 Texas Hold'em combinations of starting hands ranked by a probability of winning against a random pair? Some reliable overview by the probability would also cut it!
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How to calculate Poker hand percentages?

https://www.888poker.com/poker/poker-odds-calculator Like on the link above, all I get when I google this is how to calculate pot odds. I am not looking for that. If you go to the link above and add ...
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profit when 4 betting against a opponent who won't flat call

This problem is from the book "application of NL hold'em". From the book: Let’s now analyze the profitably of 4-betting with the intention of calling a 5-bet. To accomplish this, assume we win 12.5 ...
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Tying the pot and EV of a poker hand

Just recently heard of the concept of Expected Value of a hand. This guy explained it well: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiPmaif9szQ But there is still one case he hasn't looked at. It is a split ...
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Burning cards in poker

Why does the dealer burn cards while playing poker? I was told that it is done to prevent cheating but I still don't get it. I apologize if my question seems silly; I am a novice at poker.
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Average graph of high-ranking players' chips vs. hands played in major tournaments

(I haven't been able to find information elsewhere, so I'm asking here.) What is the typical graph of chips vs. proportion of tournament lifetime for players who did very well in a tournament (...
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explaining the terms regarding Outs

Blockquote I was reading about calculating Odds of hitting the draw but i did not understood how they calculated the following data. Let say, if Outs is 1(which case would it be ? ), so how they ...
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What topical resources do you often use to learn more about poker?

To get information that's usually considered cutting edge, it's often good to discuss topics more candidly with experts forging new thoughts on well established theories. Books of course mostly deal ...
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Are Poker books like “Book on Tournament Texas Hold'em” trust worthy?

I have recently began reading Dan Harrington's Book on Tournament Texas Hold'em Volume 1. Dan wrote this book, while still participating in professional poker, and won the WPT in 2005, the same year ...
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Estimate (online) tournament expected duration?

Given the entrants and the speed (e.g. 45 Players Turbo), is there any formula out there to estimate a tournament duration? Even better, any formula to estimate times for each finish position? As an ...
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How to calculate my sample size to establish my real-WR?

I've been tracking for a period my hour rate and I want to know how much data I've to collect in order to establish my winnings per hour. I've been searching online and when it comes to getting a ...
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Hi lo poker. Low hand ties

What happens in hi lo when there is a tie for the best hand hi and lo? I was playing recently and went all in with another player and we both had the exact same hand, A2345. I was told that I ...
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In what situations will you lose the low-pot in Omaha Hi/Lo while holding Ace-Deuce?

In Omaha hi low, will holding an Ace and a Deuce card automatically give you the "nut low" hand in the event of a qualifying low hand?
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How can I calculate my total odds given different possible events?

Let's suppose I have 25% probability of drawing the winning hand, equal to odds of 3:1. Let's also assume that I’ve tracked my opponents and calculate that there is a 50% chance they will fold to a ...
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Is there a formula to calculate starting hand ranking?

I'm about to do some research with Nash tables, now I want to create an equity heatmap for the starting hands. Is there any canonical way to calculate their relative rank? Perhaps a conventional ...
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Should I use Effective M on 9-Max Tournaments?

In Tourneys I'm using Harrington M-ratio to determine actions and opponent ranges. My question is should I use Effective M with 9-Max full ring tables (using a 9/10 factor), or I should just use raw ...
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hand question review about this pot [duplicate]

IN the pot, its already a flush then why the pot did not divided equally between me and the COntender.Why he able to took all the pot ?
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Best five card hand [duplicate]

Me and some friends were playing poker and player 1 had 9/8 and player 2 had 9/3. The flop was K, K, 9, 2, 2. Who would be the winner , please explain.
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Playing with an infinite copies of a deck

Let's assume we are no longer having a deck with 52 cards, but infinite cards, where every card has a probability of 1/52 to be received. With the logic, if you have two cards, the probability for a ...
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What would be the main difference to poker if the deck would be extended?

Let's assume we had the following deck: Suits: ♠♣♥♦▲⬤ Values: 2 - 10, Soldier, Guard, Princess, Queen, King, Ace Would the ranking of all hands (flush, trilling, etc.) be still in the same order, or ...
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Does Heads Up Hold ’em GTO assume a linear relationship between utility and money?

Would it be possible to exploit a GTO poker player if you recognized that you have different values than that player? For instance, if there are decreasing returns to money (such that your first ...
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You have AA in the BB. The BU opens to 3.5x. What is your line?

You have AA in the BB. The BTN opens to 3.5x. What is your line ?
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Which probability to get any combination on flop with AA?

I want know which probability to get various combinations with AA vs 1 opponent to flop: Which probability to get one pair? Which probability to get two pair? Which probability to get set? Which ...
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Why shove the river when your range is more than 50% value heavy?

From an example in Mastering Small Stakes No Limit Holdem (pg. 383): Notice that Hero [on the river] has nut hands slightly more often than bluffs. When this is the case, as long as Hero does not ...
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692 views

Confusion about two pair rule in poker, can someone help me who will win [duplicate]

Hello guys please help here. i think it is a draw what do you say?
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What to consider in order to build a Pre-Flop range chart (Hold-em)?

I know there is a ton of pre-flop open/3-bet range charts online (even in this forum). But, I am trying to understand the "main" considerations people use to build them. I'm pretty new to the game, ...
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Postflop play books references

I feel quite comfortable playing pre flop, but I feel that I am weak in post flop play. I lack the big picture of post flop play. Can anyone give me a good reference for post flop play?
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Simplest Way to Explain EV to Beginners

I've recently been teaching a few of my friends to play poker, and I've explained various facets of poker play to them, now I want to explain Expected Value. It's not a simple concept and I don't ...
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Poker aggression - Flop, Turn and River

Given a low stakes NL Holdem game, statistics of 200+ hands are given as below. PreFlop aggression : 60% Flop aggression : 70% Turn aggression : 50% River aggression : 66% Win rate ...
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Can a King be beaten in one card poker?

This question is about the following theoretical model of poker, which is a greatly simplified version of my earlier question. Suppose that from one deck of cards, we remove all the Kings, and give ...
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Chance of winning heads-up by always shoving pre-flop

I've been generally wondering about what sort of winrate good players can expect vs. worse players, and thought of an interesting limit to this winrate. In NLHE, if the worse player just blindly ...
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Simplified poker games

Is there a list of simplified poker games - preferably ones for which there is either a complete solution (ie the optimal strategy for all players is known) or at least some extensive analysis, either ...
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Pre-flop charts 6-max cash games

I am planning on building a poker bot. The first and easiest part is the pre-flop strategy. Do you guys have any links for a good pre-flop strategy in NLH 6-max cash games, 100BB deep? This includes: ...
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Why is it easier to make a flush than a straight with four cards already matching?

In draw poker with five cards, if I have four cards with an open-ended straight draw, why is it a lower probability to get the fifth card for the straight than if you have four cards in a flush and ...