Questions tagged [probability]

deals with computing probabilities for many commonly occurring events in the game of poker

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6 votes
11 answers
23k views

What are the odds of having 2 Quads in the same hand?

Just watched a video that went as follows: Player 1 (Button): Q♥Q♠ Player 2: 9♥9⋄ Player 3: 2♣2♠ Flop: Q⋄9♠Q♣ Turn: 5♠ River: 9&...
Mat's user avatar
  • 61
2 votes
1 answer
419 views

Straight draw in heads up?

With a stack of 3000, 50/100 blinds, I was holding: 2 4 (not suited) I'm big blind in a heads up game. Opponent matches the big blind, so I end up playing a hand I'd never play otherwise. Flop:...
Joe's user avatar
  • 123
6 votes
4 answers
25k views

What are the actual odds of being dealt pocket Aces?

I have been looking at the way people calculate the odds of poker hands for a few hours and i think there is a HUGE flaw. In poker a player is never dealt two CONSECUTIVE cards. This in my view ...
Extrainnings's user avatar
3 votes
2 answers
3k views

Probability Of Getting A Straight Flush Or Royal Flush When Holding QJs

Given that you are dealt the J♥ and Q♥, what is the probability that you will eventually make a straight flush or royal flush? Having these cards in your hand means that: 1). the only ...
user2582622's user avatar
7 votes
1 answer
977 views

Equity calculation

Flop = T♥ 7♥ 6♥ Player 1 = 4♠ 3♥ Player 2 = 5♥ 2♠ Whats the equity of Player 1 on this flop ? Equity calculators give it 43.54% (18.5% for tie and ...
Korn's user avatar
  • 73
0 votes
2 answers
467 views

High Card only count

How many 5 card poker hands only have a high card, i.e no pair, straight, flush, e.t.c? A breakdown of high cards would also be appreciated. I do know what is special about 23457 off-suited - any ...
JMP's user avatar
  • 277
4 votes
3 answers
19k views

Probability of flopping straight flush

Assume you're given 2 cards of the same suit, and the next three cards (flop) are also the same suit as your hole cards. What is the probability of that happening? So I figured out that 2 cards have ...
user2582622's user avatar
3 votes
6 answers
5k views

What are the chances of losing with a King high Straight Flush?

Also: is the probability so small that this has never happened?
jacknad's user avatar
  • 1,171
0 votes
2 answers
633 views

Are both a straight and a full-house possible on the same flop? [closed]

I have been playing poker on pokerstar.net, and for several occasions, there have been a straight flush and a full house on the same flop/game, I just think that this is an impossibility. Just what ...
Carey's user avatar
  • 17
7 votes
4 answers
2k views

Probability of x pocket pairs at a table of n people (NLHE)?

With n people at a table, what is the probability that x of them are dealt pocket pairs? There are several easy ways to approximate this but I was wondering there was an elegant solution. Any takers?
Matt's user avatar
  • 71
3 votes
2 answers
3k views

What are the odds of flopping a straight flush with 62s?

I've been wondering what the odds are of flopping a straight flush with 62s.
Brent Morrow's user avatar
  • 1,780
5 votes
2 answers
1k views

Chances of 5 way chop (flush board)

What is the exact probability that 5 players at a table will be dealt no clubs (or hearts or whatever) ? Happened to me when all 5 community were all clubs (2,3,5,K,9), thereby a 5 way chop.
The Tourminator's user avatar
6 votes
4 answers
3k views

Formula for making a single pair on the flop

I'm trying to get the probability of pairing only one hole card on the flop. According to this calculator, http://www.texasholdem-poker.com/calculator?card1=8&card2=13&chance_format=...
Justin Carlson's user avatar
8 votes
4 answers
394 views

Systematic all-in

This is a theoretical question, following what I have seen in some low blinds cash games. You generally cannot buy-in more than 100BB. Say at some point, you reached 10,000 BB. All you adversaries ...
wwjoze's user avatar
  • 181
13 votes
7 answers
58k views

Pocket pair starting hands vs. probability of opponent having a pocket pair

According to Wikipedia, the probability of being dealt any pocket pair as the starting hand is ~6% (78/1326=0.0588), but yet the probability of facing another player holding a larger pair when holding ...
Theo's user avatar
  • 986
12 votes
2 answers
23k views

Starting hands probability

The following is a passage from Wikipedia on starting hands probability: The 1,326 starting hands can be reduced for purposes of determining the probability of starting hands for Hold 'em—since ...
Theo's user avatar
  • 986

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