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Results tagged with probability
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user 3876
deals with computing probabilities for many commonly occurring events in the game of poker
2
votes
Accepted
How does number of player affect the probability of a hand winning a round?
Stop saying winning. The best hand often does not win as it is folded. And can win without the best hand as a better hand was folded.
You will see top pros like a durrr win with marginal hands a …
- 6,921
1
vote
Pocket pair starting hands vs. probability of opponent having a pocket pair
One way to solve this is combination
Will use combin(x,y) for (x/y) as that is what you can use in Excel
How many ways to make a pair?
combin(4,2) = 6 (sc, sh, sd, ch, cd, hd)
You have 2 card …
- 6,921
0
votes
What is the probability of seeing a royal flush and a four of a kind in the same round with ...
Using combination
Will use NcK
Lets assume quad aces
The board is the easy part
Need exactly 4 cards - two remaining aces and the 2 left for the royal flush
One random from the remaining 44
4 …
- 6,921
-1
votes
Accepted
On the turn pot odds to call versus outs
I ran the numbers recently and thought it might be of value to others
On the turn with one card to come there are 52-6 = 46 cards left
The math on call is
(bet + pot) / bet = (46 - outs) / ou …
- 6,921
2
votes
Probability in poker
One question at a time
Using combinations
One hand is suited
How many other suited hands of that suit
11c2 = 55
How many suited hands not of the suit
13c2 * 3 = 234
Chance of same = 55 / ( …
- 6,921
0
votes
Realistic Community Cards
One question at a time
If the site was trying to cheat they would put the pair in the hand -
not the flop
Number of players does not effect the flop
As for working it out learn combination
poker probability …
- 6,921
0
votes
Poker Strategy for all ins
Unless it is a bluff you are facing:
two over cards
this is what you are hoping for
you are pretty close to a coin flip 1:1
QJ suited has a more ways to beat you so you are very close to 1:1
not su …
- 6,921
0
votes
How do I calculate poker hand probabilities?
This is the 5 card poker hands
This matches all the hand counts here WIKI poker probabilites
If you are going to write any type of equity calculator, game, or bot this is where I recommend you star …
- 6,921
1
vote
1
answer
124
views
Card removal and marginal hands
We know that big cards like ace and king are played more pre flop
For me in late position card removal would not really change how you play AK.
What about 88? Does card removal make it any more …
- 6,921
0
votes
Accepted
Card removal and marginal hands
Based on this it got me thinking. See my answer.
If they are playing this 77+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, AJo+, KQo top 10% then they only have an 8 12/296 = 4.05%
The chance of no 8 is 1 - (284/296)^4 = . …
- 6,921
0
votes
2
answers
170
views
Probability of an over straight or strait flush
You flop 2 hole cards to the full straight or straight flush.
What is the chance of an over straight or straight flush?
- 6,921
0
votes
Probability of an over straight or strait flush
Partial answer
Y is you
X is card from the board
straight flush just one opponent
YYXXX 0 there are only 4 more cards so cannot made on over straight
at best they could tie you …
- 6,921
0
votes
1
answer
119
views
Quantify the equity of position (button) heads up
Can the value of the button be quantified heads up.
Is there an optimal number of hands to play assuming the SB is going to play GTO?
Or if there is an EV based solution?
Can use fixed sized bet …
- 6,921
0
votes
Formula for making a single pair on the flop
With combinations
match a card combin(6,1)
other combin(44,2)
flops combin(50,3)
combin(6,1) x combin(44,2) / combin(50,3) = 0.2895918367 = 1 / 3.4531360113
- 6,921
0
votes
Pocket pair starting hands vs. probability of opponent having a pocket pair
This is using binomial distribution
I know it does not agree with other answers but I think this is correct
this is for KK - for the rest you just multiply
0 hand 1 hand 2 ha …
- 6,921