6 votes

Can someone help me calculate if I am "pot committed" in the following scenario?

Player 1 is facing a bet of $11 into an existing pot of $178+$11 = $189, so is getting pot odds of 189/11 = 17.18 (so just over 17-1). To make a call profitable, they therefore need to have the ...
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  • 1,562
6 votes
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Knowing whether to continue after calculating outs percentage

So just to offer you a small bit of clarity on outs, you absolutely do not have a 35% chance of winning the hand! You have a 35% chance of improving your hand. This is an important distinction to ...
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  • 4,411
5 votes

Studying poker math - is it worth it?

Definitely yes, its worth it. For example: you play MTTs, in the middle of tournament, and you've got a decent stack of chips (not short stacked). Blinds are going high, and a lot of short stacked ...
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5 votes
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Studying poker math - is it worth it?

In the big scheme of things at the poker table there are upsides and downsides to math, as well as with intuitive play. For the sack of clarity, generally speaking intuitive play is doing what you ...
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  • 5,471
5 votes
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Pot Odds Paradox in Short Stack

Your "paradox" arises from the fact that aside from your bet, the pot contains enough expected value already for each player that neither could improve their expected ending stack by folding. With ...
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  • 1,938
5 votes

Confused about pot odds

Here is another way to look at it: Gained if you call and win: 30+50 = 80 Lost if you call and lose: 50 Your Equity = 0.36 EV = Equity(Gained when win) + (1-Equity)(Lost when lose) EV = 0.36(80) + (1-...
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  • 166
3 votes

is this an accurate pot odds calculation?

Is this an accurate pot odds calculation? Preflop Pot: $60 (Hero) + $60 (Villian) + $10 (Small Blind) = $130 Flop Pot $140 (Flop Bet x2) + $130 (Preflop Pot) = $270 River Pot: $140 (Hero Bet) + $340 (...
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  • 1,760
3 votes

Additional Odds for Flush Draw, by hitting two paris or three of a kind, as well - How to calculate Runner-Runner?

Usually runner-runner probability is so low that it won't affect the consideration of pot odds. Thus, in most cases, realistically, you calculate the direct odds. The only exception would be runner-...
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3 votes

Odds on winning both hands running it twice when massive dog

First pot, you have 19.14% equity and 18.78% to win. Second pot, with card removal you have 13.5% equity and 13.09% to win. To calculate your odds to win both, simply multiply both numbers: .1878 * ....
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  • 2,794
3 votes

Drawing and pot odds

So in this case let's first count our outs. We have 8 cards that can make us our open ended straight draw, we also have another 7 cards that will make us our flush. So a total of 15. We know of our ...
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  • 4,411
3 votes
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When taking pot odds into account after the flop, use chance of hitting with next two cards, or just the next card

This depends on number of things you have to consider, not only the direct odds. What I mean: The pure odds you calculate should be used if you expect your opponent to check the turn and you see free ...
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  • 64
3 votes

When taking pot odds into account after the flop, use chance of hitting with next two cards, or just the next card

That depends on what you're contemplating, and what you think future action will be. For example, if you're contemplating a bet that will put you or your opponent all in, then the odds of the next two ...
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3 votes

Pot Odds Paradox in Short Stack

We need a bit more information. Starting stacks, bets pre-flop etc. From what it sounds like so far you should have pushed all in pre-flop or after the flop. One thing I disagree with however is ...
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3 votes

Pot Odds Paradox in Short Stack

if your bet leaves you with the stack less than the bet itself, you should have gone all in on the flop. In general, if your bet takes the third of your stack you have to go all-in.
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3 votes

Studying poker math - is it worth it?

Of course it's worth it. Playing profitable poker comes down to two fundamental principles: Identify your opponent's strategy. Compute, and implement, the best response. You're falling prey to a ...
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  • 1,760
2 votes

Studying poker math - is it worth it?

Knowing poker math has helped me bet (and win) the occasional hand by understanding pot odds. That made it "worth it" for me. More to the point, it's worth it for someone who plays "occasionally" or ...
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  • 1,410
2 votes
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Ratio vs Percentage in pots odds and hand odds

I am confused in when do we use the word odds vs outs Outs only refer to how many cards can come down on later streets which will improve a hand's absolute strength. Odds refer to how likely it is ...
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  • 1,760
2 votes
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Formula not checking out under certain conditions

You are calculating pot odds a very unusual way. Your formula is mostly correct (but only works some of the time), and I'll get back to that in a moment, but typically you would just use two variables:...
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  • 1,023
2 votes

Pot Odds Paradox in Short Stack

When you are short stacked you unfortunately don't have the chips to force a bad decision. Accept the opponent is not going to fold. 1/4 pot bet is not going to get them off a flush draw. If you ...
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  • 6,849
2 votes

Preflop Pot Odds

It depends on how deep the stacks are and how many players are involved in the pot. To make this easier lets suppose you have 72o, since it is the bottom of your pre-flop range. If you have to call ...
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  • 2,794
2 votes
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Pots odds versus bluff rate to call on the river

This question seems difficult but when you start knowing what it means, things become easier. When you say pot odds are 3:1 to call it means that in this situation you only need to win 1 time out of ...
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  • 201
2 votes

Keep getting beaten All In with AA

Did you hold the ace of spades? What bet sizing? You have AA and your thought is to wait for the river to value bet? Not a spot to slow play with a flush draw and two paint on the board. He could ...
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  • 6,849
2 votes

Confused about pot odds

It's a common misunderstanding. You can do it both ways, it's up to what's more convenient to you. European Way (include the amount you bet) equity (%) = your_money/(pot+your_money) = 50 / 130 = ...
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2 votes
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How to bet with straight draw on the flop, and then straight on the turn?

Preflop play is OK but I'd probably prefer to limp (there are already two previous limpers, which give you awesome pot odds) I don't like betting 20 in-position on the flop because you are basically ...
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  • 915
2 votes

Pot Odds in "The Mathematics of Poker" Example 4.3

They're playing limit hold'em. That pot size means the SB folded, BB checked and the other player. 15$ from the SB, 30$ from the BB and 30$ from the other player. Limit hold'em or fixed-limit hold'em ...
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  • 4,411
1 vote

Correct call from EV perspective? [PLO]

You have 13 outs as 2 clubs pair the board. You also can't be sure clubs (non nut flush) and 4s Ts (flushes your straight) are clean. According to simulation, your equity is closing 28%, so it's a ...
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  • 345
1 vote
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How many people need to call to make a bet on a flush draw worthwhile?

I believe the answer currently posted is incorrect. In the situation posed: If you bet x, and 1 person calls, then you need over 50% odds for a worthwhile bet. If you bet x, and 2 people call, then ...
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1 vote

Can someone help me calculate if I am "pot committed" in the following scenario?

"Pot committed" happened on the prior bet. On the turn if you call off or bet out 1/3 of your stack then you are pot committed. On the turn (or flop if no turn bet) should have pushed or folded. If ...
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  • 6,849
1 vote

When taking pot odds into account after the flop, use chance of hitting with next two cards, or just the next card

Those number are wrong 19.15% turn 19.57% river 34.97% turn or river (I think you are missing that 5 cards are out) At the flop if either are all in then you can count on no more bets on the turn. ...
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  • 6,849

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