Game is 50NL six max. Villain in early position raises to $1.75 (3.5xBB) pre-flop. All fold up to hero. Hero is on button. Hero's stack is $65. Villain's stack is $50. Hero has Villain on following HUD stats:
AF = 5 (agression factor) AFQ = 48% (agression factor frequency) RFI = 13% (raise first in) Fv3Bet = 89% (fold vs 3 bet) FCB = 65% (flop continuation bet) TCB = 65% (turn continuation bet) FCR = 0% (flop continuation bet)
Should hero fold, call, or 3 bet with following hands: QQ, AQ, 98s, JTo?
Aggression Factor Analysis
Could be wrong, but villain's aggression factor seems high. Villain bets or raises 5x as much villain calls.
Aggression Frequency Analysis
Still not sure what difference between aggression factor and aggression frequency is.
Raise First In Analysis
Raise first in makes me think villain might a tight range here, maybe too tight.
Fold vs 3 Bet Analysis
Villain seems super foldy here in my opinion. Villain folds way to often to counter bets (3 bets specially).
Continuation Bet Analysis
I think that villain is a tight aggressive but also a nit. Villain does not bet often except on strong ranges. When villain does bet, villain folds to easily to 3 bets. Villain's strategy is to bet hard on good ranges / flops then folds to 3 bets even with good cards. I would 3 bet villain on QQ, AQ, 98s, and JTo. Do you agree / disagree? Why?
Good point on sample sizes. This problem is from a work book so I think it's reasonable to assume the sample sizes are large enough to be solid. Some stats needs large sample sizes, so that's something I should be aware of for sure.